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TOM MANGO supports Scafetta 2016 research on the role of the planetary gas giants on earths climate

Dr Scafetta has a new paper out in 2016

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2016/05/21/nicola-scafetta-high-resolution-coherence-analysis-between-planetary-and-climate-oscillations/

Tom has contacted me with some of his own calculations to support Scafettas findings

He wrote

“Hey Sue,

Scafetta’s new paper is all about validating the 60 year
cycle using highly technical methods.
I use an extremely simple method of sums with

very interesting results.

Here’s a table and a graph I’ve put together:’
————————————————————
l WILL LET TOM EXPLAIN HIS WORK IN THE COMMENTS SECTION BELOW
PLEASE CLICK ON THE TITLE OF THIS POST TO LOAD ALL FURTHER COMMENTS AND DISCUSSION BELOW
PLEASE FEEL FREE TO CONTRIBUTEjup_sat_inequality2btom2bmango2bmay2b2016
synodic_table2btom2bmangomarch2b2016
STORAGE OF THE ABOVE GRAPHS ARE LOCATED  HERE
The above works belongs to TOM MANGO

CONTACT TOM MANGO HERE
Readers can contact me at TLMango10@gmail.com
or via this post in the comments section below..

Nicola Scafetta: High resolution coherence analysis between planetary and climate oscillations

extract from abstract
“… using the canonical correlation analysis at least five coherent frequencies at the 95% significance level are found at the following periods: 6.6, 7.4, 14, 20
and 60 years. Thus, high resolution coherence analysis confirms that the climate system can be partially modulated by astronomical
forces of gravitational, electromagnetic and solar origin. A possible chain of the physical causes explaining this coherence is briefly
discussed.
2016 COSPAR. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved”SCAFETTA 2016′

http://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0273117716300084-gr1.jpg

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0273117716300084

http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0273117716300084/1-s2.0-S0273117716300084-main.pdf

click on the totle of this post to load all comments below

Tallbloke's Talkshop

Image credit: NASA Image credit: NASA
Note from the author: I am sending you my new paper. It has been just published.

Scafetta, N.: High resolution coherence analysis between planetary and climate oscillations.
Advances in Space Research 57, 2121-2135, 2016.
DOI: 10.1016/j.asr.2016.02.029

To help access and share the article, there is the following article link, which will provide free access to the article until June 9, 2016.
http://authors.elsevier.com/a/1SvYs~6OiTa4q

View original post 172 more words

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Push continues for BOM AUDIT

Maurice Newman’s article…

Bureau of Meteorology needs to open records to audit

·         MAURICE NEWMAN

·      THE AUSTRALIAN

·      FEBRUARY 1, 2016 12:00AM

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/australian-bureau-of-meteorology-needs-to-open-records-to-audit/news-story/64dee9b2edb78bd8477c620775ad3eb7

Weather bureaus have changed. They are no longer invisible organisations where avuncular bureaucrats use basic computers to deliver dodgy forecasts. Today’s weather bureaucrats are visible, sophisticated and ideological. But, despite a huge investment in supercomputers, their record for accurate forecasts remains dismal.

Their mission has expanded to include climate change advocacy, where agnostics are left in no doubt that significant weather abnormalities are evidence of global warming. They tinker with raw data but give inadequate explanation as to why. Their terrestrial records diverge increasingly with satellite and radiosonde datasets. Confidence in their integrity has been called into question.

Today’s bureaus have become climate change citadels. Their records are the repository of the Holy Grail. Regardless of doubts about their accuracy, they are protected. Hundreds of billions of dollars annually, including huge international transfer payments and tens of thousands of highly paid jobs, may depend on keeping records away from prying eyes.

Last August, a BBC Radio 4 program called What’s the Point of the Met Office? detailed the British agency’s history of dud predictions and its role as a parliamentary lobbyist. Rather than wait for an official complaint, the BBC issued a full-blown apology for “giving voice to climate-change sceptics” and “for failing to make it clear that they are a minority voice out of step with the scientific consensus”. According to program host Quentin Letts, Roger Harrabin, the BBC’s environment analyst, “went nuts” that the program was aired. Later, several BBC officials were required to undertake online training with a “substantial scenario on reporting climate-change science”.

Across the Atlantic, the US house science committee is conducting an investigation into the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, a $6 billion-a-year government weather service, seeking access to internal deliberations around a groundbreaking climate change study. Amid allegations that the NOAA attempted to shape and direct the committee’s oversight, chairman Lamar Smith demanded to see thousands of emails that he thinks will show that by homogenising temperature records, researchers were able to refute claims that global warming over the past decade had paused. He accused the agency of altering the data to “get the results they needed”.

Whistleblower allegations say the NOAA “rushed to publication over the objections of numerous scientists at the agency”. The NOAA has refused to hand over the emails.

Australia has its own concerns with homogenisation. Blogger Joanne Nova has reported on it for years. Scientist Jennifer Marohasy has been persistent in seeking answers to why perfectly good raw data is manipulated to turn a cooling trend into a warming one.

Auditor Ken Stewart studied thousands of Bureau of Meteorology records and demonstrates it has a case to answer. The response is to stonewall and, when information is released, to offer no means of replication. Data is converted into vague probabilities that, when technically correct, are still often meaningless. Weather agencies stand accused of a culture of “snowing” sceptics.

When then prime minister Tony Abbott wanted to establish a taskforce to investigate the bureau’s temperature dataset and other related records, the cabinet, Environment Minister Greg Hunt and his department all came to the bureau’s aid by watering down the proposal and setting up a panel approved by the BoM to “strengthen governance oversight”.

Hunt said: “In doing this, it is important to note that public trust in the bureau’s data and forecasts, particularly as they relate to bushfires and cyclones, is paramount.”

It is good to have friends in high places. Better not to know that the bank’s books have been fiddled in case the market loses confidence.

At least American taxpayers have a champion in Lamar Smith, who complained to the US Commerce Secretary that the NOAA’s top officials had “obstructed” his committee’s oversight role. He said NOAA had refused voluntarily and under subpoena to hand over critical information. “It is the end product of exchanges between scientists — the detailed understanding of scientific work that underpins the authors’ findings,” he said.

The scientists argue that Smith is setting a dangerous precedent of interfering with independent scientific work.

Australian weather officials seem to share NOAA’s views. They reject full transparency in the face of informed criticism of their work. Stonewalling, and appeals to authority, are the defence. In any other field this would be a scandal.

Is the BoM’s methodology commercial in confidence or do taxpayers, who pay more than $300 million a year for this agency, have a right to know?

Confidence in weather bureaus will continue to decline until the world is finally satisfied through thorough independent investigation and audit that the vital records over which they exercise monopoly control are the result of a scientifically rigorous, replicable process. Nothing has changed since 2009, when John Theon, retired chief of NASA’s Climate Processes Research Program and responsible for all weather and climate research, testified “scientists have manipulated the observed data to justify their model results”. Complaining about lack of transparency, he said: “It is contrary to the way science is done.”

Memo to Australia’s Auditor General: There is an urgent job to be done.

Thanks to jenny l have retrieved this article from ‘saltshakers’ website

Is the Bureau of Meteorology really ‘independent’?

Jenny Stokes
Research Director
Salt Shakers
a: PO Box 6049, Wantirna, Victoria, 3152

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You might remember previous warriors for this cause

Jo NOVA DEC 2010

Announcing a formal request for the Auditor General to audit the Australian BOM

http://joannenova.com.au/2011/02/announcing-a-formal-request-for-the-auditor-general-to-audit-the-australian-bom/

———————————————————-

and Jenny stokes writes

“This is not the first time this issue has been raised. . .

In March 2014, MP Dennis Jensen raised the matter in the federal parliament, and asked for an Independent Audit of the Bureau of Meteorology. He also suggested that theAustralian Bureau of Statistics might be the appropriate body to analyse and collect the climate data instead, due to a conflict of interest that the BoM has as it also works with the UN’s IPCC.

Read Dr Jennifer Marohasy’s report – click here

Dr Marohasy has also written a detailed Open Letter to the Minister for the Environment (in March 2014) with a series of Questions that need to be answered – read it here.

——————————————————

‘weathercycles’

I don’t thing a monopoly on anything is particularly good

an independent assessment and /or a body that oversees accountability other than the IPCC cohort would be a good idea”

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First CAT 5 Cyclone WINSTON for FIJI . FEB 2016

https://au.news.yahoo.com/qld/a/30873446/tropical-cyclone-winston-update-bears-down-on-fiji/

 

Thanks to ken kato ,for posting on weatherzone forum

EXTRACTS
Fijian Prime Minister, J.V Bainimarama released the following statement: “Tropical Cyclone Winston has begun its assault on Fiji. It is being described as one of the powerful in recorded history – a Category 5 cyclone with winds approaching 300 kilometres an hour. As a nation, we are facing an ordeal of the most grievous kind

The storm is carrying average winds of 220km/h, with gusts of up to 315km/h recorded, according to Fiji’s Meteorological Service.

FORUM discussion
http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthreads.php/topics/1366856/1

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Maunder, Dalton , Gliessburg, Oort, MWP wolf , sporer

CLICK ON TITLE TO LOAD DISCUSSION IN THE COMMENTS BELOW

NEW RESEARCH . DECEMBER 2015..

TOM MANGO FINDS THE  MAUNDER MINIMUM IS PART OF A REPEATING CYCLE

His research and current forum discussion is found

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2016/01/08/earths-climate-linked-to-jupiter-saturn-and-the-solar-system-barycentre-discussion-open/comment-page-1/#comment-4198

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2015/01/08/following-tom-mango/

 

Meteorological Education

WEATHER EDUCATION.. MET ED SITE

https://www.meted.ucar.edu/index.php
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More links and resources in the comments section below
You may have to click on the title to load all further entries

A sample of some topics

The NCAR Climate Data Guide
The Operational Models Encyclopedia
Introduction to Meteorological Charting
NWP Essentials: NWP and Forecasting
Quasi Geostrophic Vorticity Equation (just to impress my readers)
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Analysis
Ensemble Applications in Winter
Satellite Feature Identification: Conveyor Belts
Weather Observing Fundamentals (!)
EUMeTrain’s Synoptic Textbook
Writing TAFs for Convective Weather, 2nd Edition (!!)
Tephigram Mastery
Topics in Dynamic Meteorology: Pressure Gradient Force (I kid you not)
Jet Streams
Satellite Feature Identification: Cyclogenesis
Climate Change and Extreme Weather
Topics in Dynamic Meteorology: Thermal Wind
Satellite Feature Identification: Atmospheric Rivers
Skywarn Spotter Convective Basics
Fog: Its Processes and Impacts to Aviation and Aviation Forecasting
Satellite Feature Identification: Blocking Patterns
Introduction to Statistics for Climatology
Rain Gauges: Are They Really Ground Truth?

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Winter storm JONAS East coat of USA Jan 2016

23rd Jan 2016…JONAS ..3rd biggest winter storm since 1869

reports the Courier Mail in Australia ( 25th jan 2016)

EAST COAST OF USA

http://www.attn.com/stories/5388/2016-winter-storm-jonas-east-coast

From nth Carolina to New york and as far west as kentucky

On saturday the3 23rd jan 2016 New york had 63.4cm of snow

that is close to the record of 68.2cm in 2006 the record for single day snow fall

This event also coincided with a high tide flooding beaches in cape Bay new Jersey

( courier mail )

TOTAL TRAVEL BAN FOR NEW YORK CITY

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2016/jan/23/blizzard-snowstorm-washington-new-york-east-coast#block-56a3bdd5e4b05f5c24ca596d

Photographer Giles Clarke sent these photos of the blizzard in New York City through GuardianWitness.

 CENTRAL PARK NEW YORK CITY
Deep snow drifts

CENTRAL PARK

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EARTHS CLIMATE LINKED TO JUPITER / SATURN and the SOLAR SYSTEM BARYCENTRE.. Discussion open

TOM MANGO has undergoing research on this topic. Here are a few of his latest graphs showing some key cycles that are open to link to earths climate
His email is
tlmango10@gmail.com




TOMS EXPLANATION..
The first graph is the sixtyoneyear graph which contains equ(3) in orchid.
If we perform peak-to-peak analysis on equ(3) using every fifth peak we will extract a 2208 year (Hallstatt) cycle.
Notice that the Hallstatt has a 144 year wave oscillating on it (second and fourth graphs).
I discovered this wave but I named it after Pierre Bretagnon.
This peak-to-peak analysis simply measures the change expressed in terms of mass.

Now… If we analyze every fifth peak we find there is actually five combinations (not demonstrated in the graphs).
So… There is actually five overlapping Hallstatt cycles produced, each separated by a phase of ~441.6 years (2208 / 5).
One of the five Hallstatt cycles was in agreement with the Damon and Sonnet 14C data.
I chose the one that was in agreement and that is the fourth graph.

The third graph is a climate projection based on the work of others.
Here I’ve made a huge discovery involving the ~1000 year millennial cycle.
In my model minimums advance along a 914 year wave and these minimums re-occur at ~1000 year intervals.
So…. the next minimum scheduled to repeat itself is the Oort minimum, which should happen in 2070.
It was later that I discovered the Bretagnon wave and that the millennial cycle was really 1008 years (144 x 7).

KEEP TUNED for discussion and please feel free to ask tom questions here
His email is
tlmango10@gmail.com

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If you want more detail on the development of these findings. I have a post dedicated to TOM MANGO’s work

here

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2015/01/08/following-tom-mango/comment-page-1/#comment-4077

You might have to scroll through the pages

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SYDNEY..Wettest start to January 2016 on record

NSW floods: Record rain brings chaos to Hunter amid search for missing sailor

EXTRACTS

A home is surrounded by floodwaters in Raymond Terrace.

A photo gallery of 17 photos from this link

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-01-06/nsw-weather-heavy-rain-flooding-hunter-downpours-forecast-sydney/7069792

” Dozens of residents in Raymond Terrace were ordered to evacuate, where the Hunter River broke its banks.

…On Tuesday night residents were evacuated from low-lying parts of the flood-ravaged town of Dungog,where wild weather led to three deaths less than a year ago.

..The BoM said the rainfall had broken weather records.

“In Newcastle, Nobby’s [weather] station recorded the wettest three-day rainfall total for January, and that’s records going back to 1862,” senior climatologist Agata Imielska said.

“They had 273.4 millimetres for the last three days.

“In fact, the wettest day was 200.6 millimetres and that was recorded over 24 hours to 9:00am to January 6 this year (today) — so that’s the wettest January day on record there.”

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-01-06/nsw-weather-heavy-rain-flooding-hunter-downpours-forecast-sydney/7069792