Scroll down to the comments below to view all Long paddock seasonal forecasts from 2019 and onwards.
Towns and rural communities across the Basin rely on a healthy river system—our economy, food security and well being depend on it, now and into the future.
Please scroll down to comments below for further information, comments or latest news on climate and the basin.
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A brand new Australian weather forum has opened… August 2019
as a replacement for the now defunct weatherzone forum .Weatherzone forum closed in JULY 2019 .
Paul Atkins is the author and administrator.
I go on there myself with username ‘crikey’
I encourage you to join and help build this forum with regular posts
Check it out here.. Its free.. Just register and start posting
(Don’t forget the .au or you will end up in an overseas address.There are quite a few forums with a similar address)
Pauls’ ABOUT page says
” WeatherForum.com.au forum is created and hosted by the same people who created OceanViewWeather.com.au and came about due to the closing of the WeatherZone forum in mid 2019. (Although we were a couple of months late!!!)
I am an IT manager, who feels the need to get back on the tools and play with things, like this forum, just to keep the old brain cells engaged!
We are a non commercial site created by a weather enthusiast for Weather enthusiasts.
We aim to create a forum where people can express their own opinions, however we expect users to respect other users as people and avoid conflict and trolling. To help with this we utilise various spam filters and profanity filters. This should help make the WeatherForum a place for young and old to enjoy.
(We is myself and Gemma the cat, who walked on the keyboard whilst the forum was being created)”
I have started this blog post because today l have found out all major search engines are re routing the search string ‘climate shift’.
If you enter this term into any search engine, it will respond with pages and pages of ‘climate change’
We are being prevented from viewing alternative theories to man made climate change theories or facts, folks.
I will make an attempt to collect some links to climate regime shift sites that focus on natural variability.
I have tried alternatives to google and they ALL redirect the term ‘climate shift’
…You can get around this by..
Using google scholar…
which will accept the string ‘climate shift’ and lead you to alternative research on the reasons for global temperature trends other than AGW
on on the main google search engine page use talking marks on the search string which over rides the ban on the term… climate shift
.My comment… Since when are ‘financial years’ the time frame for the primary seasonal report?
I will just collect information and post links.
A persistent pos AAO…Stalled synoptic pattern…with the Tasman high centred west of NZ..,.. jetstreams well south and zonal ( not wavy).. monsoonal activity mainly up in the far nth qld
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I will give some links to these resources. On this front page and in the comments section below
Seasonal climate summary southern hemisphere (summer 2015-16): strong El Niño peaks and begins to weaken
Acacia S. Pepler1 1 Bureau of Meteorology, Sydney, Australia
Seasonal climate summary southern hemisphere . Winter of 2000 ..
by Grant Beard…A near neutral phase of ENSO
Not in order of years but as l come across links and information
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Definition from BOM
“The Southern Oscillation Index, or SOI, gives an indication of the development and intensity of El Niño or La Niña events in the Pacific Ocean. The SOI is calculated using the pressure differences between Tahiti and Darwin.
Sustained negative values of the SOI lower than −7 often indicate El Niño episodes. These negative values are usually accompanied by sustained warming of the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, a decrease in the strength of the Pacific Trade Winds, and a reduction in winter and spring rainfall over much of eastern Australia and the Top End.
Sustainted positive values of the SOI greater than +7 are typical of a La Niña episode. They are associated with stronger Pacific trade winds and warmer sea temperatures to the north of Australia. Waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean become cooler during this time. Together these give an increased probability that eastern and northern Australia will be wetter than normal.
There are a few different methods for calculating the SOI. The method used by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology is the Troup SOI which is the standardised anomaly of the Mean Sea Level Pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin.”