Nicola Scafetta: On the astronomical origin of the Hallstatt oscillation found in radiocarbon and climate records throughout the Holocene.

NICOLA SCAFETTA SEPTEMBER 2016 “Hallstatt oscillation (about 2318 year period), which is observed in climate and solar records is a major stable resonance of the solar system. The paper also evaluates the other major planetary stable resonances and we found all other typical oscillations found in climate and solar records such as a quasi 20-year oscillation, a quasi 60-year oscillation, the 82-97 year Gleissberg oscillation and the 159-185 year Jose oscillation (and others).”

Tallbloke's Talkshop

fig1-scafetta

Nicola Scafetta writes:

Dear all,

it was a pleasure to meet you at London. Some of you asked me about my paper in press about a link between astronomical, solar and climate oscillations. Here it is:

Scafetta, N., Milani, F., Antonio Bianchini, A., Ortolani, S.: On the astronomical origin of the Hallstatt oscillation found in radiocarbon and climate records throughout the Holocene. Earth-Science Reviews 162, 24–43, 2016. There is a free access to the article, and is valid for anybody until November 10, 2016 by using this link  http://authors.elsevier.com/a/1TlSB2weQTZcD

(Permanent copy here)

The importance of the article is that it demonstrates quite clearly that the long Hallstatt oscillation (about 2318 year period), which is observed in climate and solar records is a major stable resonance of the solar system. The paper also evaluates the other major planetary stable resonances and we found all other typical oscillations found in climate and…

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Fibonacci and the earths climate

It is well known that the universe is not a chaotic system but governed by laws that are predictable. All of creation exhibits order. The Fibonacci series and the ‘golden numbers’ are found in all ordered and stable components of all living and non living things.

https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2013/02/20/a-remarkable-discovery-all-solar-system-periods-fit-the-fibonacci-series-and-the-golden-ratio-why-phi/

So why wouldn’t we find Fibonacci numbers in the weather and earths climate.

I have started this post on Tom Mangos request and posted his table of Fibonacci and conjunction cycles as requested. Tom studies the sun, moon  and the large planets Jupiter and Saturn and  there links to the earths climate .

fibonacci_1and-conjunctipn-cycles

 

 

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The suns acceleration linked to the earths ice age cycles by TOM MANGO

 

minimum1843

minimum1986

https://goo.gl/photos/U2vt37BGBdMtknRg6

Hi Sue,
These two graphs indicate that there are times when solar
minimum occurs at or near the same location on the ecliptic.

When the Sun’s acceleration decreases during an Ice-age cycle
it’s orbit becomes more circular and average solar cycle length
becomes longer (approaching 11.86 years).

During the 12,000 year inter-glacial periods there is evidence
that this is happening to a lesser degree. Notice the 143 year
separation (Bretagnon wave?) between 1843 and 1986.

Tom

CRIKEY said”feel freee to ask TOM questions in the comments section below.
This post is an ongoing study of Toms’
Use the search facility to find his previous posts

l store all of Toms graphs in my solar system and the earths climate folder found here

https://photos.google.com/album/AF1QipPZNZR5fK3hL3r49fNZMvS_rEPP_5IyP3lQmlwR

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TOM MANGO supports Scafetta 2016 research on the role of the planetary gas giants on earths climate

Dr Scafetta has a new paper out in 2016

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2016/05/21/nicola-scafetta-high-resolution-coherence-analysis-between-planetary-and-climate-oscillations/

Tom has contacted me with some of his own calculations to support Scafettas findings

He wrote

“Hey Sue,

Scafetta’s new paper is all about validating the 60 year
cycle using highly technical methods.
I use an extremely simple method of sums with

very interesting results.

Here’s a table and a graph I’ve put together:’
————————————————————
l WILL LET TOM EXPLAIN HIS WORK IN THE COMMENTS SECTION BELOW
PLEASE CLICK ON THE TITLE OF THIS POST TO LOAD ALL FURTHER COMMENTS AND DISCUSSION BELOW
PLEASE FEEL FREE TO CONTRIBUTEjup_sat_inequality2btom2bmango2bmay2b2016
synodic_table2btom2bmangomarch2b2016
STORAGE OF THE ABOVE GRAPHS ARE LOCATED  HERE
The above works belongs to TOM MANGO

CONTACT TOM MANGO HERE
Readers can contact me at TLMango10@gmail.com
or via this post in the comments section below..

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Maunder, Dalton , Gliessburg, Oort, MWP wolf , sporer

CLICK ON TITLE TO LOAD DISCUSSION IN THE COMMENTS BELOW

NEW RESEARCH . DECEMBER 2015..

TOM MANGO FINDS THE  MAUNDER MINIMUM IS PART OF A REPEATING CYCLE

His research and current forum discussion is found

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2016/01/08/earths-climate-linked-to-jupiter-saturn-and-the-solar-system-barycentre-discussion-open/comment-page-1/#comment-4198

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2015/01/08/following-tom-mango/

 

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EARTHS CLIMATE LINKED TO JUPITER / SATURN and the SOLAR SYSTEM BARYCENTRE.. Discussion open

TOM MANGO has undergoing research on this topic. Here are a few of his latest graphs showing some key cycles that are open to link to earths climate
His email is
tlmango10@gmail.com




TOMS EXPLANATION..
The first graph is the sixtyoneyear graph which contains equ(3) in orchid.
If we perform peak-to-peak analysis on equ(3) using every fifth peak we will extract a 2208 year (Hallstatt) cycle.
Notice that the Hallstatt has a 144 year wave oscillating on it (second and fourth graphs).
I discovered this wave but I named it after Pierre Bretagnon.
This peak-to-peak analysis simply measures the change expressed in terms of mass.

Now… If we analyze every fifth peak we find there is actually five combinations (not demonstrated in the graphs).
So… There is actually five overlapping Hallstatt cycles produced, each separated by a phase of ~441.6 years (2208 / 5).
One of the five Hallstatt cycles was in agreement with the Damon and Sonnet 14C data.
I chose the one that was in agreement and that is the fourth graph.

The third graph is a climate projection based on the work of others.
Here I’ve made a huge discovery involving the ~1000 year millennial cycle.
In my model minimums advance along a 914 year wave and these minimums re-occur at ~1000 year intervals.
So…. the next minimum scheduled to repeat itself is the Oort minimum, which should happen in 2070.
It was later that I discovered the Bretagnon wave and that the millennial cycle was really 1008 years (144 x 7).

KEEP TUNED for discussion and please feel free to ask tom questions here
His email is
tlmango10@gmail.com

——————–

If you want more detail on the development of these findings. I have a post dedicated to TOM MANGO’s work

here

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2015/01/08/following-tom-mango/comment-page-1/#comment-4077

You might have to scroll through the pages

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FOLLOWING.. TOM MANGO

PLEASE CLICK ON THE TITLE OF THIS POST TO LOAD ALL FURTHER ENTRIES

TOM MANGO IS A KEEN ASTROPHYSICIST AND UNDERTAKES CONSIDERABLE PRIVATE RESEARCH IN THIS AREA
I HAVE DEDICATED THIS POST TO DOCUMENTING SOME OF TOM’S INVESTIGATIONS.
I FIRST MET TOM AT TALLBLOKE WORDPRESS BLOG

TOM HAS AN INTEREST IN THE LARGE OUTER PLANETS AND EARTHS CLIMATE AND IS RECENTLY INVESTIGATING THE BARYCENTRE OF JUPITER AND THE SUN .
TOM HAS SENT ME A TASTE OF HIS CURRENT RESEARCH( January 2015) I WILL LET TOM EXPLAIN .

tom mango J _ sS barycentre

Zoom in here
https://picasaweb.google.com/110600540172511797362/SOLARSYSTEMAndClimate#6102894955554622546

I WAS HONORED TO HAVE TOM EMAIL ME in 2015 RE : INTEREST IN MY CURRENT STUDY OF THE SCHWABE TRIPLETS AND THE DIRECT CONNECTION TO THE EARTHS NATURAL QUASI 66 YR TEMPERATURE CYCLE.

We discuss this here
https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2014/05/15/schwabbe-triplets-and-earths-climate/

CONTACT TOM MANGO HERE
Readers can contact me at TLMango10@gmail.com
or via this post in the comments section below..

——————————————————————
PLEASE CLICK ON THE TITLE OF THIS POST TO LOAD ALL FURTHER ENTRIES

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Ray Tomes Speaking at NPA Conference in Baltimore. NOV 2014

“The universe consists of a standing wave
which develops harmonically related waves,
and each of these does the same.”

RAY TOMES EXPLAINS HOW EVERYTHING IN THE UNIVERSE IS BASED ON WAVE PHYSICS AND HARMONICS .
THAT INCLUDES THE STOCK MARKET AND THE WEATHER.

Lots of graphs to help you understand. Not too hard the get the gist for the beginner either

https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-estMFby9TDA/VGrGE6NvcxI/AAAAAAAAHoc/CGpmH4OtIMQ/s720/Ray%2520Tomes%2520Nov%25202014%2520harmonics%2520lecture.png

source link
http://cyclesresearchinstitute.wordpress.com/2014/11/18/ray-tomes-speaking-at-npa-conference-in-baltimore/

Cycles Research Institute's Blog

The Natural Philosophy Alliance (NPA) is an organisation that is determined to stick to sound scientific principles based in empirical research rather than sticking with some theory and ignoring the facts that disagree with it. NPA is holding a conference in Baltimore from November 19 to 21, 2014. Ray Tomes will be one of the many speakers, giving two papers about how the Harmonics Theory came about and its successful predictions and explanations.

Ray’s two talks are available here as PDF documents for download.

NPA-Harmonics Theory and how it came about

NPA-Predictions of the Harmonics Theory

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Paul Vaughan: Wind and Sun – correlation since 1880

How about this !! Correlating the earths wind with solar activity!!
Who would have thought.. !!
Well dome Paul… I see a match!!!.
Now….. to read on…

Tallbloke's Talkshop

Paul’Vaughan posted a link to this plot on the tail end of a long running thread which has dropped off the front page now, so I thought I’s give it prominence today. It’s a ‘food for thought’ starter – the main course will be served as and when Paul has time.

Sun_Wind

It’s all coming together. Both Paul and I have been working on the sunspot integral over the last several years. Back in 2009 I found that by subtracting the average sunspot number at which the ocean neither gains nor loses energy from the monthly value and summing the running total, I could make use of the sunspot integral as a proxy for ocean heat content (OHC).

View original post 197 more words

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SOLAR WIND and EARTHS CLIMATE

Click on the title to load all further entries at the base of this page

(Thanks TO ‘OLDBREW’)
http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2014/05/19/solar-periodic-instability/comment-page-1/#comment-78865
for finding this information . If there is a connection with Earths climate it warrants a post of its own.
As get more info’ I will do a few time series correlations

Heliospheric current sheet

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heliospheric_current_sheet
solar wind
——————————–

Sleepy sun thickens the slow solar wind

17:14 10 January 2014 by Stuart Clark
source
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn24851-sleepy-sun-thickens-the-slow-solar-wind.html#.U4MKUiB-_IU

Even the sun needs a break. A slowdown in solar activity has given us the first real clue about a period of dramatic solar behaviour 350 years ago.

In 2008, the sun entered a deep lull in magnetic activity. Spacecraft measurements show that this caused a belt of sluggish particles, known as the slow solar wind, to thicken. Produced near the sun’s equator, the belt is normally narrow and ruched like a ballerina’s tutu. The particles there flow at about 336 kilometres a second, as opposed to 550 kilometres a second in the fast solar wind produced closer to the sun’s poles.

Because Earth orbits at a 14 degree tilt relative to the sun’s equator, it passes in and out of these ruches during the year. As solar activity dwindles, the belt thickens, and we spend more time passing through it. The speed of the slow solar wind affects the temperature of Earth’s upper atmosphere, and impacts climate.

To find out how severe such slowdowns might be, Mike Lockwood and Matt Owens at the University of Reading, UK, used the 2008 measurements to model the belt’s thickness during the most extreme solar minimum on record: the Maunder Minimum. This lasted from 1645 to 1715 and corresponded to a minor ice age.

Not so windy

The model showed that the solar wind speed probably dropped to just 250 to 275 kilometres a second during this period. Earth spent six months of the 2008 minimum in the slow solar wind, but it probably spent all 70 years of the Maunder Minimum there.

Lockwood says the current weak cycle could herald the sun dipping into another extended period of inactivity. The temperature of Earth’s upper atmosphere affects the speed at which satellite orbits decay, so a prolonged drop in the solar wind speed would cool and shrink the atmosphere and diminish the drag on satellites. This would exacerbate the space junkMovie Camera problem because debris would be slower to re-enter Earth’s atmosphere, where it burns up harmlessly.

But don’t expect another mini ice age, says Lockwood. The Maunder Minimum was also characterised by an almost total lack of sunspots, which record how the solar dynamo, which creates the sun’s magnetic field, is churning. We still do not understand that well enough to predict when another Maunder Minimum might occur.

“Until we know why the sun occasionally drops into these grand minima, we won’t really understand the solar dynamo,” says Lockwood.

LOCKWOOD and OWENS
Journal reference: Astrophysical Journal Letters, DOI: 10.1088/2041-8205/781/1/L7

http://iopscience.iop.org/2041-8205/781/1/L7

Implications of the Recent Low Solar Minimum for the Solar Wind during the Maunder Minimum

M. Lockwood and M. J. Owens
Show affiliations

M. Lockwood and M. J. Owens 2014 ApJ 781 L7. doi:10.1088/2041-8205/781/1/L7
Received 18 November 2013, accepted for publication 5 December 2013. Published 23 December 2013.
? 2014. The American Astronomical Society. All rights reserved.

Abstract
The behavior of the Sun and near-Earth space during grand solar minima is not understood; however, the recent long and low minimum of the decadal-scale solar cycle gives some important clues, with implications for understanding the solar dynamo and predicting space weather conditions. The speed of the near-Earth solar wind and the strength of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) embedded within it can be reliably reconstructed for before the advent of spacecraft monitoring using observations of geomagnetic activity that extend back to the mid-19th century.

We show that during the solar cycle minima around 1879 and 1901 the average solar wind speed was exceptionally low, implying the Earth remained within the streamer belt of slow solar wind flow for extended periods. This is consistent with a broader streamer belt, which was also a feature of the recent low minimum (2009), and yields a prediction that the low near-Earth IMF during the Maunder minimum (1640-1700), as derived from models and deduced from cosmogenic isotopes, was accompanied by a persistent and relatively constant solar wind of speed roughly half the average for the modern era.