XMETMAN says ” There is such a black art into figuring out the relative strengths of an El Niño or La Niña event, that it’s with fear and trepidation that I say that the current 2015-16 El Niño cycle is the second strongest in the records which started in 1950″
TOM MANGO has undergoing research on this topic. Here are a few of his latest graphs showing some key cycles that are open to link to earths climate
His email is
The first graph is the sixtyoneyear graph which contains equ(3) in orchid.
If we perform peak-to-peak analysis on equ(3) using every fifth peak we will extract a 2208 year (Hallstatt) cycle.
Notice that the Hallstatt has a 144 year wave oscillating on it (second and fourth graphs).
I discovered this wave but I named it after Pierre Bretagnon.
This peak-to-peak analysis simply measures the change expressed in terms of mass.
Now… If we analyze every fifth peak we find there is actually five combinations (not demonstrated in the graphs).
So… There is actually five overlapping Hallstatt cycles produced, each separated by a phase of ~441.6 years (2208 / 5).
One of the five Hallstatt cycles was in agreement with the Damon and Sonnet 14C data.
I chose the one that was in agreement and that is the fourth graph.
The third graph is a climate projection based on the work of others.
Here I’ve made a huge discovery involving the ~1000 year millennial cycle.
In my model minimums advance along a 914 year wave and these minimums re-occur at ~1000 year intervals.
So…. the next minimum scheduled to repeat itself is the Oort minimum, which should happen in 2070.
It was later that I discovered the Bretagnon wave and that the millennial cycle was really 1008 years (144 x 7).
KEEP TUNED for discussion and please feel free to ask tom questions here
His email is
If you want more detail on the development of these findings. I have a post dedicated to TOM MANGO’s work
The mean temperature for December was 9.67°C which was a remarkable +5.02°C above the 1961-1990 long-term average for the month. It was 1.58°C warmer than the last warmest December of 1934 a record that lasted for over 80 years
XMETMAN SAYS “And here I am talking about the daily Central England Temperature [CET] that began in 1878. The maximum temperature for yesterday was astonishing 13.7°C which was +0.8°C higher than the record set 115 years earlier in 1900. “
‘kg007’said”One record equaled today, 6 days straight of 35c plus for December, equals record set in 1898!
“Adelaide now has recorded four days in a row of 40c plus, just peaked at 40.4. Breaking record set of 3 days in 1898 and 2007.”
“Some new December records set today Clare 41.7, Pt Pirie 44.8, Snowtown 44.9!”
“Port Augusta can be added to the list has hit 46.4 previous record 46.1!”
“Scratch that, Pt Pirie now 45.4, Snowtown 45.2 more than 1c above previous records!”
“Pt Pirie at 45.6, previous record 44.0!
Whyalla hit 45.5, previous record 44.9!”
“Port Augusta new record 47.2, previous 46.1!”
“Edinburgh has equaled its December record with 43.5c!”
“Whyalla has new record of 45.8, previous 44.9!”
“The all-time record for most number of December consecutive days with 40C or above was broken though.
“The most impressive record I’ve seen so far is Snowtown’s, where 45.2 is a December record for old and new sites combined (data back to 1908). The current Port Augusta site is a fair bit hotter than its predecessors but 47.2 is still an impressive number.
NICE ARIAL SHOT OF DUST FRONT