Scientists predicting GLOBAL COOLING

There are many scientists predicting global cooling in the coming decades

SCROLL DOWN for the inventory information and links
I will add to the extensive list as this site is developed

Please post in comments if you are notifying of a scientist or advocate who is forecasting a global downturn in temperature

The Sun in the background and Jupiter foreground


Photo obtained from Ron Cottrell’s most excellent photostream on his ‘flickr’account
You have to have a ‘gawk’ at this

Ron Cottrell
http://www.flickr.com/photos/roncottrell/

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44 comments on “Scientists predicting GLOBAL COOLING

  1. ROBERT W FELIX
    Author of books related to a coming ice age

    His main occupation is an architect

    “In the early 1990s, drawn by a different passion, he signed up for further studies at the University of Washington. He spent the next eight years, full-time, researching and writing about the coming ice age”

    I haven’t read his books but his web site

    ICE AGE NOW
    http://iceagenow.info/about-the-author/

    is very popular.

    From this link about Robert Felix scroll down and you have access to his many categories related to global cooling

    Noted form his sun widget..in left column
    July 31st….Sunspots only 4

    Recent sunspot number

    HERE is link to ICE AGE NOW …MOST RECENT POSTS
    http://iceagenow.info/2013/08/unprecedented-july-cold-arctic-sees-shortest-summer-record/

  2. Habibullo Abdassamatov

    ————————————–

    New paper predicts another Little Ice Age within the next 30 years

    http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com.au/2013/12/new-paper-predicts-another-little-ice.html
    —————————————–

    Some profound statements on this You tube presentation by Habibullo Abdassamatov

    He is speaking at a Heartland Institute conference

    This statement stands out like a sore toe

    “WE ( Russian climatologists?)expect the beginning of the new little ice age epoch in 2014″”

    cripes!!!

    You Tube

    Here are a few notes l have taken from this presentation

    Some points from the overhead presentation
    -TSI ( total solar irradiance) accelerated decent since the 1990’s
    -The global temperature will oscillate around the maximum reached in 1998-2005

    -A deep minimum of TSI and sunspot activity in 2042 (error of + or – 11)
    -A deep global temperature minimum in 2055 -2066( error of + or – 11)

    -positive feedbacks contributed to continued warming temporarily even if solar indices decline due to the oceans, albedo and water vapour concentration
    -we found..sensitivity to carbon dioxide abundance dropped with the increase of water vapor concentration
    -water vapor concentration varies substantially with height. Even small increase in the average water vapor abundance
    can increase surface air concentration significantly. This leads to considerable changes in radioactive transfer

    -solar energy reaching the earth are the main reasons driving the mechanisms of climate change
    -feedbacks like albedo and water vapor abundance will modify climate change

    -NO human induced global warming.. at all
    -advice us to adapt to the coming new little ice age in the middle of this century

    ANOTHER LINK to
    Russian scientists Dr Habibullo Abdussamatov prediction

    http://germanherald.com/news/Germany_in_Focus/2013-03-31/2331/Prof_Warns_Mini_Ice_Age_has_Started,

  3. STEPHEN WILDE
    is U.K. Private Client Solicitor and lifelong Weather and Climate enthusiast.

    Joined Royal Meteorological Society 1968.
    Stephens new climate model
    http://www.newclimatemodel.com/about/

    comparing jetstream position during a quiet and an active sun
    source of image

    I have selected information from his latest web site http://www.newclimatemodel.com that pertains specifically to global cooling

    Stephens new model is a conceptual one so don’t expect any complex dynamical modelling

    His outlined sequence of events is logical and incorporates years of his personal study and observation
    Stephen outlines the cycle of earths climate variables modulated by either an active and not so active sun.

    He primarily uses a ‘top down’ approach as the sun as the major driver of earths climate

      His model is an HYPOTHESIS

    in which can be tested in the decades to come as the sun becomes increasingly quiet as predicted by solar physicists currently

    EXTRACT from his page..starting at the quiet sun stage
    quoted
    “…………………………
    11) Solar activity passes its peak and starts to decline.
    12) Ozone levels start to recover. The stratosphere warms.
    13) The tropopause falls, especially above the poles altering the equator to pole height gradient.
    14) The polar high pressure cells expand and intensify producing increasingly negative Arctic and Antarctic Oscillations.
    15) The air circulation systems in both hemispheres move back equatorward and the ITCZ moves nearer the equator as the speed of the hydrological cycle decreases due to the warming stratosphere reducing the temperature differential between stratosphere and surface.
    16) The main cloud bands move more equatorward to regions where insolation is more intense and total global albedo increases once more due to longer lines of air mass mixing.
    17) Less solar energy reaches the surface and in particular the oceans as the subtropical high pressure cells contract.
    18) More rain falls on ocean surfaces further cooling them.
    19) Solar energy input to the oceans decreases
    20) The strength of warming El Nino events decreases relative to cooling La Nina events and the atmosphere cools.
    21) It should be borne in mind that internal ocean oscillations substantially modulate the solar induced effects by inducing a similar atmospheric response but from the bottom up (and primarily from the equator) sometimes offsetting and sometimes compounding the top down (and primarily from the poles) solar effects but over multi-decadal periods of time the solar influence becomes clear enough in the historical records. The entire history of climate change is simply a record of the constant interplay between the top down solar and bottom up oceanic influences with any contribution from our emissions being indistinguishable from zero.
    ———————————————————————————————————————————————————
    One thing is for sure..
    The sun is entering a quiet cycle and for the first time in modern technological history we will be able to study the sun/ earth interaction and the climatic response to a quiet sun

    Eyes open and note books out everyone.!!!
    The event has already started in albeit small measures to date..
    Stephen should have mentioned the duration of the suns quiet/active phase.. and that there are variations in intensity of the active and quiet phases
    We have entered the commencement of perhaps the downturn of both the 200yr and 1000 yr cycle?……….Global cooling

    Stephen Wilde fell short of predicting global cooling in this research essay for the coming decades but l included his excellent description of the signs in the climate variables we would expect from a quiet sun and global cooling .
    Going through his list.. His hypothesis looks very reasonable.Don’t you think?

    STEPHEN WILDE
    is U.K. Private Client Solicitor and lifelong Weather and Climate enthusiast.

    Joined Royal Meteorological Society 1968.
    Stephens new climate model
    http://www.newclimatemodel.com/about/

    image link

    I have selected information from his latest web site http://www.newclimtemodel.com that pertains specifically to global cooling
    Stephens new model is a conceptual one so don’t expect any complex dynamical modeling
    His oulined sequence of events is logical and incorporates years of his personal study and observation
    Stephen outlines a cycle of an active and not so active sun.
    He primarily uses a ‘top down’ approach as the sun as the major driver of earths climate

    His model is an HYPOTHESIS in which can be tested in the decades to come as the sun becomes increasingly quiet as predicted by solar physicists currently
    EXTRACT from his page..starting at the quiet sun stage
    quoted
    “…………………………
    11) Solar activity passes its peak and starts to decline.
    12) Ozone levels start to recover. The stratosphere warms.
    13) The tropopause falls, especially above the poles altering the equator to pole height gradient.
    14) The polar high pressure cells expand and intensify producing increasingly negative Arctic and Antarctic Oscillations.
    15) The air circulation systems in both hemispheres move back equatorward and the ITCZ moves nearer the equator as the speed of the hydrological cycle decreases due to the warming stratosphere reducing the temperature differential between stratosphere and surface.
    16) The main cloud bands move more equatorward to regions where insolation is more intense and total global albedo increases once more due to longer lines of air mass mixing.
    17) Less solar energy reaches the surface and in particular the oceans as the subtropical high pressure cells contract.
    18) More rain falls on ocean surfaces further cooling them.
    19) Solar energy input to the oceans decreases
    20) The strength of warming El Nino events decreases relative to cooling La Nina events and the atmosphere cools.
    21) It should be borne in mind that internal ocean oscillations substantially modulate the solar induced effects by inducing a similar atmospheric response but from the bottom up (and primarily from the equator) sometimes offsetting and sometimes compounding the top down (and primarily from the poles) solar effects but over multi-decadal periods of time the solar influence becomes clear enough in the historical records. The entire history of climate change is simply a record of the constant interplay between the top down solar and bottom up oceanic influences with any contribution from our emissions being indistinguishable from zero.
    ———————————————————————————————————————————————————
    One thing is for sure..
    The sun is entering a quiet cycle and for the first time in modern technological history we wil be able to study the sun/ earth interaction and the climatic response
    Eyes open and note books out everyone.
    The event has already started in albeit small measures to date..
    Stephen should have mentioned the duration of the suns quiet/active phase.. and that there are variations in intensity of the active and quiet phases
    We have entered the commencement of perhapsthe downturn of both the 200yr and 1000 yr cycle?
    Global cooling
    Stephen Wilde fell short of predicting global cooling in this research essay but l included his excellent description of the signs in the climate variables we would expect from a quiet sun and global cooling

    STEPHEN WILDE
    is U.K. Private Client Solicitor and lifelong Weather and Climate enthusiast.

    Joined Royal Meteorological Society 1968.
    Stephens new climate model
    http://www.newclimatemodel.com/about/

    image link

    I have selected information from his latest web site http://www.newclimtemodel.com that pertains specifically to global cooling
    Stephens new model is a conceptual one so don’t expect any complex dynamical modeling
    His oulined sequence of events is logical and incorporates years of his personal study and observation
    Stephen outlines a cycle of an active and not so active sun.
    He primarily uses a ‘top down’ approach as the sun as the major driver of earths climate

    His model is an HYPOTHESIS in which can be tested in the decades to come as the sun becomes increasingly quiet as predicted by solar physicists currently
    EXTRACT from his page..starting at the quiet sun stage
    quoted
    “…………………………
    11) Solar activity passes its peak and starts to decline.
    12) Ozone levels start to recover. The stratosphere warms.
    13) The tropopause falls, especially above the poles altering the equator to pole height gradient.
    14) The polar high pressure cells expand and intensify producing increasingly negative Arctic and Antarctic Oscillations.
    15) The air circulation systems in both hemispheres move back equatorward and the ITCZ moves nearer the equator as the speed of the hydrological cycle decreases due to the warming stratosphere reducing the temperature differential between stratosphere and surface.
    16) The main cloud bands move more equatorward to regions where insolation is more intense and total global albedo increases once more due to longer lines of air mass mixing.
    17) Less solar energy reaches the surface and in particular the oceans as the subtropical high pressure cells contract.
    18) More rain falls on ocean surfaces further cooling them.
    19) Solar energy input to the oceans decreases
    20) The strength of warming El Nino events decreases relative to cooling La Nina events and the atmosphere cools.
    21) It should be borne in mind that internal ocean oscillations substantially modulate the solar induced effects by inducing a similar atmospheric response but from the bottom up (and primarily from the equator) sometimes offsetting and sometimes compounding the top down (and primarily from the poles) solar effects but over multi-decadal periods of time the solar influence becomes clear enough in the historical records. The entire history of climate change is simply a record of the constant interplay between the top down solar and bottom up oceanic influences with any contribution from our emissions being indistinguishable from zero.
    ———————————————————————————————————————————————————
    One thing is for sure..
    The sun is entering a quiet cycle and for the first time in modern technological history we wil be able to study the sun/ earth interaction and the climatic response
    Eyes open and note books out everyone.
    The event has already started in albeit small measures to date..
    Stephen should have mentioned the duration of the suns quiet/active phase.. and that there are variations in intensity of the active and quiet phases
    We have entered the commencement of perhapsthe downturn of both the 200yr and 1000 yr cycle?
    Global cooling
    Stephen Wilde fell short of predicting global cooling in this research essay but l included his excellent description of the signs in the climate variables we would expect from a quiet sun and global cooling

  4. TIM NIROMA PREDICTING GLOBAL COOLING BASED ON THE INTERACTION OF JUPITER AND THE SUN

    LINK TO HIS EXTENSIVE !! STATISTICAL RESEARCH and ANALYSIS
    http://personal.inet.fi/tiede/tilmari/sunspots.html

    A message fro TIM NIROMA who has since ‘passed on’

    ALERT: A PROBABLE NEW SUPERMINIMUM
    ******************************************************************

    Original alert 31.10.2007
    Latest update 23.06.2009

    “According to my theory about Jovian effect on sunspots, based on facts measured since 1700 and estimated since 1500 (Schove)
    – The Jupiter perihelion and sunspot minimum never coincide and the nearing perihelion in 2011 will slow the rise of the height of sunspot cycle, as now is happening to the cycle 24.
    – The Gleissberg cycle almost reached its lower limit, which is 72 years in 2005.
    — In fact this low it has not been ever after the Maunder minimum.
    — So it must go up, the short cycles of the 20th century has created a debt that must be paid.

    This means lower cycles and if the past is a good predictor, colder times on Earth.

    The rise of the CO2 in atmosphere from 0.03 to 0.04 % does not have any meaning in this play where the water vapour is far the greatest player.

    Please print a copy of TIM NIROMA’s work and also save to your disk etc to preserve his findings..
    and
    re-distribute
    Idea c/o chiefo’s musings wordpress
    who l thank for the link
    http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2011/11/13/cyclemania-and-the-cycles-of-life/
    ——————————————————–

    Another link to Tim Niroma’s work
    http://www.kolumbus.fi/tilmari/gwuppsala.htm

  5. From 1943 to 1975 .. was a period of global temperature decline at a rate minus -0.37deg C per century
    By the end of this epoch some climate scientists were hypothesising a coming mini- ice age
    A link to one such media video
    1978…

  6. Theodor LANDSCHEIDT

    http://landscheidt.wordpress.com/papers-by-dr-theodor-landscheidt/
    ———————————
    New Little Ice Age
    Instead of Global Warming?
    by Dr. Theodor Landscheidt �
    Schroeter Institute for Research in Cycles of Solar Activity
    Klammerfelsweg 5, 93449 Waldm�nchen, Germany
    mit freundlicher Genehmigung von Frau Landscheidt

    http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/ Gedenkseite mit weiteren Artikeln

    http://www.schulphysik.de/klima/landscheidt/iceage.htm

    Lots of links to Landscheidts other research papers from the links above
    —————————————————

  7. A forecast by BBC UK weatherman PAUL HUDSON for a possible Dalton style minimum..
    He explains the solar downturn and its link to the jetstreams migration south
    and the resultant colder UK climate
    Expecting some colder temperatures for 25 yrs if the Dalton Minimum trend repeats

    Nicely explained and easy to understand..

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/posts/Rare-solar-cycle-has-cold-implications-for-UK-climate

    Paul Hudson, weather presenter and climate correspondent for BBC Look North in Yorkshire and Lincolnshire.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/authors/Paul_Hudson

  8. More scientists predicting Global cooling
    DAVID ARCHIBALD
    http://joannenova.com.au/2012/01/global-cooling-coming-archibald-uses-solar-and-surface-data-to-predict-4-9c-fall/

    archibald global cooling graph

    MORE from ARCIBALD
    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/01/24/the-message-in-the-dye-3-data/
    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/01/24/the-message-in-the-dye-3-data/

    SOLHEIM
    he has published a paper predicting a 6°C decline for Svalbard, on the island of Spitzbergen, in winter over Solar Cycle 24

  9. Thanks to’oldbrew’ for this link
    Leona Libby and Louis Pandolfi, using data from redwoods in Kings Canyon in that state, accurately predicted both the warming “to around the year 2000” and the subsequent cooling in an interview with the St. Petersburg Times more than thirty years ago. More recently, a 2007 Finnish tree ring study came up with a very similar result. The Finnish foresters forecast a cold period beginning in about 2015 and bottoming in 2045. According to the Finns, this will be deeper and broader than any cold period of the last 500 years.

    Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2014/03/24/polar-vortex-or-ice-age/#ixzz2zR2X4L3M

  10. JOHN CASEY
    The Space and Science Research Corporation, (SSRC) is an independent scientific research organization in Orlando, Florida, USA.

    It has become the leading research organization in the United States on the subject of the science and planning for the next climate change to a long lasting cold era especially with regard to alerting the government, the media, and the people of the need to prepare for this new climate era.

    http://www.spaceandscience.net/

    SSRC Press Release 2-2014 has been posted effective Monday, April 28, 2014, 8:00 am ET. This release is titled:
    “President Obama Warned about Dangerous Cold Climate.”

    LETTER to THE PRESIDENT
    http://www.spaceandscience.net/id76.html

    John Casey
    He is the author of the internationally acclaimed climate science book, “Cold Sun”

    On January 6, 2014, Mr. Casey founded the Global Cooling Awareness Project (GCAP). The GCAP is an international effort to create a list of scientists and professionals who believe naturally produced global warming has ended and a new cold climate epoch has begun.

    You can contact Mr. Casey directly at mail@spaceandscience.net

    His peer reviewed scientific paper, “The Theory of Relational Cycles of Solar Activity” also called the “RC Theory,” is available at the ‘RC Theory” page on this site.

    RC THEORY
    http://www.spaceandscience.net/id64.html

  11. Drew Shindell

    extract
    “When the model started with the decreased solar energy and returned temperatures that matched the paleoclimate record, Shindell and his colleagues knew that the model was showing how the Maunder Minimum could have caused the extreme drop in temperatures. The model showed that the drop in temperature was related to ozone in the stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere that is between 10 and 50 kilometers from the Earth’s surface. Ozone is created when high-energy ultraviolet light from the Sun interacts with oxygen. During the Maunder Minimum, the Sun emitted less strong ultraviolet light, and so less ozone formed. The decrease in ozone affected planetary waves, the giant wiggles in the jet stream that we are used to seeing on television weather reports.

    The change to the planetary waves kicked the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) – the balance between a permanent low-pressure system near Greenland and a permanent high-pressure system to its south – into a negative phase. When the NAO is negative, both pressure systems are relatively weak. Under these conditions, winter storms crossing the Atlantic generally head eastward toward Europe, which experiences a more severe winter. (When the NAO is positive, winter storms track farther north, making winters in Europe milder.) The model results, shown above, illustrate that the NAO was more negative on average during the Maunder Minimum, and Europe remained unusually cold. These results matched the paleoclimate record.”
    http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=11347

  12. response at Talbloke to question
    ‘weathercycles’said
    “Hi Salvatore .THanks for your comments
    Yes . I do believe that cycles account for 100 % of Earths climate and that the AGW contribution is insignificant
    and
    that the so called’ chaos theory’ often misinterpreted anyway, is not a sole driver of the earths climate.
    Firstly as l see it..
    THe earth is a component of a SYSTEM. THe Solar System. It never acts independently of the other parts. The system is a precise and clockwork in nature
    The phi/golden number theorem pervades the system completely
    Any periods of chaos are only temporary as the cycles align destructively or constructively. Bifurcation theory
    I do not consider ANY climate event random as such but periods of chaos intermingled with order.
    In fact l believe nothing in the solar system is random but perfetly orchestrated
    Events like an El Nino. Never random but on time as per the’ cog’s within the system.
    Volcanoes an intrinsic part of the cycle. For instance. A quiet/slow? sun produce large quakes and volcanoes.
    All seismic activity in resonance? with solar system stresses and strains
    SSRC Research Report 1-2010 Correlation of Solar Activity Minimums and Large Magnitude Geophysical Events

    http://www.spaceandscience.net/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderfiles/ssrcresearchreport1-2010geophysicalevents.pdf

    Regarding your comments about the’ beginning state of the climate.’ I only understand that concept as a term used in the computer modelling of climate
    so l can’t comment re” cycles
    ——————————————
    and you asked what l thought
    Salvatore asked.
    when do you think a trend in colder temperatures will start in earnest due to the prolonged solar minimum we are currently in?
    On the basis of scientists that analyse scientists. I have seen they all agree a global temp decline until about 2030. From there on . Many cycle scientist seem to diverge in opinion.
    Because they haven’t wraped this up yet.
    Archibald likes a deep decline whilst Scafetta has a decline with some AGW modulation
    My view
    I like the qian and lu 2010 study forecast. They have 4 main cycles having peaked between 1998-2006 ( constructively overlaying and peaking at a sub- grand maximum in that period)
    Now ALL those cycles are on a downward trend.
    So De Vries , the largest of the 4 having the most weighting , is on its way down. That is a ~ 100 yr phase. So l reckon no warming phase until ~2100 onward on the upward phase

  13. CHARATOVA

    Thanks for the Charatova paper ‘Old brew’ from wordpress blog.
    . I have heard of Charatova but this is my first read of one of his papers
    ——————————————————————-
    Can origin of the 2400-year cycle of solar activity be caused by solar inertial motion?
    I. Charvtova
    Geophysical Institute AS CR, Czech Republic Accepted: 17 January 2000
    link
    http://www.goldenmean.info/astrosonics/2400YrWolfCycleJOSE.pdf

    Here is charatova’s prediction of a solar downturn and global cooling from that paper

    ————————————-
    “Fig. 3b, 2. The Sun’s orbit in the years 1985±2035 is of disordered (nontrefoil) type and similar to that of the second half of the nineteenth century.
    By analogy, mostly weaker and longer solar cycles should occur.
    The
    ir lengths could vary between 9.6 and 12.3 years, their Rmax could lie between 65 and 140.
    The predictions of Rmax for the cycle 23 made during the last decade vary between 140 and 225 (an unacceptable range).
    Our own prediction made on the basis of solar motion was the only opinion to express the opposite: i.e. a low solar cycle was predicted (Charva tova , 1988, 1990a, b; Char- va tova and StrÏesÏtõÂk, 1991).
    Charva tova (1990b) wrote: “The current cycle 22 is probably the last of the high ones.

    It should be followed by an epoch of about 40 years, in which the solar motion will be chaotic (disordered) and solar activity, therefore, should be low.

    The cycles will probably be longer and irregular.” Charva tova (1995a, b)

  14. Hi Oldbrew'( postabove) I am honoured you dropped by . Thanks for the post.
    Oldbrew is from Tallbloke.wordpress
    ———-
    Thanks to REN from same establishment for this link

    George Kukla, 77, retired professor of paleoclimatology at Columbia University and researcher at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory responds,
    Prepare for new Ice Age now says Top Paleoclimatologist
    By: Terrence Aym
    Published: March 28, 2011

    “Kukla asserts all Ice Ages start with a period of global warming. They are the harbingers of new Ice Ages. Actually, he explains, warming is good. Ice Ages are deadly and may even kill millions.”
    He suggests latest research indicates a new ice age can commence in short period of 10 yrs .
    In the link here he gives description of mechanisms and describes the changes to earths weather as an ice age evolves
    http://www.sciences360.com/index.php/prepare-for-new-ice-age-now-says-top-paleoclimatologist-5899/

  15. New paper theorizes an ice age could begin within 10 to 20 years

    Thanks to ‘oldbrew’ from tallbloke wordpress
    and hockey stick
    http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2014/05/new-paper-theorizes-new-ice-age-could.html
    for notification of this article

    R G JOHNSON

    Past and future ice age initiation: the role of an intrinsic deep-ocean millennial oscillation

    quote

    The third contribution of this paper is the hypothesis that modern society’s activities might cause a repetition of the transition to an ice age threshold climate within one or two decades from 2013

    . This possibility depends on a continuing increase of salinity in the seas east of Greenland, with a corresponding increase of NADW [North Atlantic intermediate-level deep water] formation and the SAC [Spitsbergen-Atlantic Current ] flow.
    ——————————————

    caution:keep in mind this theory is governed by a proposal of AGW as a driver

  16. Salvatore Del Prete

    is a research scientist and has produced a research article in the journal ‘Pattern recognition in Physics’.. at least.
    He is an active contributor at TALLBLOKE wordpress and has outlined his forecast for global cooling with a list of solar variables and the expectation of how they will unfold in his predicted period of cooling
    source link
    http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2014/06/17/david-evans-jo-nova-analysing-the-11-year-lag-in-climate-response-to-solar-input/comment-page-1/#comment-80614

    His web page appears to be here
    http://climatebusters.org/

    quote
    ” I expect global cooling to be quite substantial going forward.

    THE CRITERIA

    Solar Flux avg. sub 90

    Solar Wind avg. sub 350 km/sec

    AP index avg. sub 5.0

    Cosmic ray counts north of 6500 counts per minute

    Total Solar Irradiance off .015% or more

    EUV light average 0-105 nm sub 100 units (or off 100% or more) and longer UV light emissions around 300 nm off by several percent.

    IMF around 4.0 nt or lower.

    The above solar parameter averages following several years of sub solar activity in general which commenced in year 2005..

    IF , these average solar parameters are the rule going forward for the remainder of this decade expect global average temperatures to fall by -.5C, with the largest global temperature declines occurring over the high latitudes of N.H. land areas.

    The decline in temperatures should begin to take place within six months after the ending of the maximum of solar cycle 24.

  17. Leona Libby and Louis Pandolfi. In 1979, they used tree ring data from redwoods in Kings Canyon to make a remarkably accurate forecast1 From a Los Angeles Times interview of that year,
    When she and Pandolfi project their curves into the future, they show low!r average temperatures from now through the mid-1980s. “Then,” Dr. Libby added, “we see a warming trend (by about a quarter of 1 degree Fahrenheit) globally to around the year 2000. And then it will get really cold—if we believe our projections. This has to be tested.”

    How cold? “Easily one or two degrees,” she replied, “and maybe even three or four degrees.”
    The tree ring readings of the Finnish foresters are predicting a large decline in temperature bottoming out in about 2045

    global cooling forecast tree ring analysis projections Finnish

    http://americanthinker.com/2014/06/a_cold_dawn_coming.html
    http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2011/06/01/libby-and-pandolfi-were-correct/

  18. More from Salvatore Del Prete
    quote
    “THE CRITERIA

    Solar Flux avg. sub 90

    Solar Wind avg. sub 350 km/sec

    AP index avg. sub 5.0

    Cosmic ray counts north of 6500 counts per minute

    Total Solar Irradiance off .015% or more

    EUV light average 0-105 nm sub 100 units (or off 100% or more) and longer UV light emissions around 300 nm off by several percent.

    IMF around 4.0 nt or lower.

    The above solar parameter averages following several years of sub solar activity in general which commenced in year 2005..

    IF , these average solar parameters are the rule going forward for the remainder of this decade expect global average temperatures to fall by -.5C, with the largest global temperature declines occurring over the high latitudes of N.H. land areas.

    The decline in temperatures should begin to take place within six months after the ending of the maximum of solar cycle 24.

    NOTE 1- What mainstream science is missing in my opinion is two fold, in that solar variability is greater than thought, and that the climate system of the earth is more sensitive to that solar variability.

    NOTE 2- LATEST RESEARCH SUGGEST THE FOLLOWING:

    A. Ozone concentrations in the lower and middle stratosphere are in phase with the solar cycle, while in anti phase with the solar cycle in the upper stratosphere.

    B. Certain bands of UV light are more important to ozone production then others.

    C. UV light bands are in phase with the solar cycle with much more variability, in contrast to visible light and near infrared (NIR) bands which are in anti phase with the solar cycle with much LESS variability

    extracted from
    http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2014/06/25/david-archibald-the-edge-of-a-cold-deep-abyss/comment-page-1/#comment-81447

  19. DON EASTERBROOK

    The PDO cool mode has replaced the warm mode in the Pacific Ocean, virtually assuring us of about 30 years of global cooling, perhaps much deeper than the global cooling from about 1945 to 1977. Just how much cooler the global climate will be during this cool cycle is uncertain. Recent solar changes suggest that it could be fairly severe, perhaps more like the 1880 to 1915 cool cycle than the more moderate 1945-1977 cool cycle. A more drastic cooling, similar to that during the Dalton and Maunder minimums, could plunge the Earth into another Little Ice Age, but only time will tell if that is likely.

    Don J. Easterbrook is Professor Emeritus of Geology at Western Washington University. Bellingham, WA.
    http://www.globalresearch.ca/author/don-j-easterbrook

    easterbrookcooling prediction

    Figure 5.Global temperature projection for the coming century, based on warming/cooling cycles of the past several centuries. ‘A’ projection based on assuming next cool phase will be similar to the 1945-1977 cool phase. ‘B’ projection based on assuming next cool phase will be similar to the 1880-1915 cool phase. The predicted warm cycle from 2030 to 2060 is based on projection of the 1977 to 1998 warm phase and the cooling phase from 2060 to 2090 is based on projection of the 1945 to 1977 cool cycle.

  20. AGW skeptic..
    A point of view from
    http://wyoskeptic.wordpress.com/

    “The earth’s magnetic field is fading and fading somewhat faster than a lot of people were expecting to see. Sun spot wise, we are getting into the area of a grand minimum. With the cosmic particle theory, we are potentially looking at cooling down from two sources, reduced solar radiance and from increased cloud cover.

    However, there is an area in which it seems to me that a lot of people have ignored for some time, something in which all the flap over CO2 levels, most everyone seems to be ignoring. That is the amount of heat given off by the earth’s inner core. IF (and I grant this to be a very large IF) there is a connection between inner core heating, orbital mechanics of the planetary alignment (i.e along the lines of the Landscheidt theory) which leads to reduced solar output, alterations of the sun’s magnetic fields which in turn affect sunspot numbers and the Solar Wind (especially solar wind) and the earth’s magnetic field,

    then I suggest the earth may be in for a far greater cooling that so far has been predicted.

  21. ROBERT FELIX
    The warm/cold cycles

    http://iceagenow.info/2014/07/ice-ages-triggered-solar-activity-video/


    ————————————————

    ROBERT’S BOOK
    http://iceagenow.info/the-book/about-the-book/
    The next ice age could begin any day

    Next week, next month, next year, it’s not a question of if, only when.

    One day you’ll wake up – or you won’t wake up, rather – buried beneath nine stories of snow. It’s all part of a dependable, predictable cycle, a natural cycle that returns like clockwork every 11,500 years.

    And since the last ice age ended almost exactly 11,500 years ago . . .

  22. SCAFETTA 2014 Predicts a DALTON LIKE MINIMUM that could last until about 20145

    http://www.pattern-recogn-phys.net/2/1/2014/prp-2-1-2014.html

    scafeta 2014 predictsDalton minimum
    BUT
    Scafeta attenuates for AGW
    “Scafetta’s model takes into account that the natural climatic variability, driven by a forecasted solar minimum similar to a moderate Dalton solar minimum or to the solar minimum observed during ∼1910 (see Figs. 7b and 8) would yield a global cooling of ∼0.4 ◦C from ∼2000 to ∼2030 (see cyan curve in Fig. 9), but this natural cool- ing would be mostly compensated by anthropogenic warm- ing as projected throughout the 21st century by Scafetta’s β-attenuated model (see Eq. 11). “

  23. CLIMATE DEPOT has produced an EXTENSIVE LIST of organisations and researchers predicting GLOBAL COOLING..
    Its a very LONG !! article

    Climate Depot Exclusive Round Up of Global Cooling Predictions – June 2014

    http://www.climatedepot.com/2014/06/29/scientists-and-studies-predict-imminent-global-cooling-ahead-drop-in-global-temps-almost-a-slam-dunk/

    NOAA acknowledges a slight cooling trend since 2005
    http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2014/06/
    cooling since 2005 NOAA

  24. Prof Valentina Zharkova

    at the National Astronomy Meeting in Llandudno.
    http://phys.org/news/2015-07-irregular-heartbeat-sun-driven-dynamo.html

    Original study
    http://www.researchgate.net/profile/Valentina_Zharkova/publication/266799418_PREDICTION_OF_SOLAR_ACTIVITY_FROM_SOLAR_BACKGROUND_MAGNETIC_FIELD_VARIATIONS_IN_CYCLES_21-23/links/559fbc8c08ae3dbcbe86d891.pdf

    Looking ahead to the next solar cycles, the model predicts that the pair of waves become increasingly offset during Cycle 25, which peaks in 2022. During Cycle 26, which covers the decade from 2030-2040, the two waves will become exactly out of synch and this will cause a significant reduction in solar activity.

    Read more at: http://phys.org/news/2015-07-irregular-heartbeat-sun-driven-dynamo.html#jCp

    “In cycle 26, the two waves exactly mirror each other – peaking at the same time but in opposite hemispheres of the Sun. Their interaction will be disruptive, or they will nearly cancel each other. We predict that this will lead to the properties of a ‘Maunder minimum’,” said Zharkova.

    “Effectively, when the waves are approximately in phase, they can show strong interaction, or resonance, and we have strong solar activity. When they are out of phase, we have solar minimums. When there is full phase separation, we have the conditions last seen during the Maunder minimum, 370 years ago.””

    https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2015/07/10/new-solar-model-claims-97-predictive-accuracy-cooler-times-ahead/comment-page-1/#comment-104179

  25. Climate is controlled by natural cycles. Earth is just past the 2004+/- peak of a millennial cycle and the current cooling trend will likely continue until the next Little Ice Age minimum at about 2650.See the Energy and Environment paper at http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0958305X16686488
    and an earlier accessible blog version at http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com/2017/02/the-coming-cooling-usefully-accurate_17.html
    Here is the abstract for convenience :
    “ABSTRACT
    This paper argues that the methods used by the establishment climate science community are not fit for purpose and that a new forecasting paradigm should be adopted. Earth’s climate is the result of resonances and beats between various quasi-cyclic processes of varying wavelengths. It is not possible to forecast the future unless we have a good understanding of where the earth is in time in relation to the current phases of those different interacting natural quasi periodicities. Evidence is presented specifying the timing and amplitude of the natural 60+/- year and, more importantly, 1,000 year periodicities (observed emergent behaviors) that are so obvious in the temperature record. Data related to the solar climate driver is discussed and the solar cycle 22 low in the neutron count (high solar activity) in 1991 is identified as a solar activity millennial peak and correlated with the millennial peak -inversion point – in the RSS temperature trend in about 2004. The cyclic trends are projected forward and predict a probable general temperature decline in the coming decades and centuries. Estimates of the timing and amplitude of the coming cooling are made. If the real climate outcomes follow a trend which approaches the near term forecasts of this working hypothesis, the divergence between the IPCC forecasts and those projected by this paper will be so large by 2021 as to make the current, supposedly actionable, level of confidence in the IPCC forecasts untenable.””

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