Complete record of droughts at Manilla NSW from 1884.

By ‘surly bond’,an independent climate analyst at Manilla NSW , Australia.

Posted on ‘weather zone forum’ July 2019

Red colour marks times when rainfall was in the lowest one percent of occurrences. The graph is novel, in that the beginning of drought is marked as well as the end.

There were just six great droughts lasting more than one year: 1902, 1911, 1940, 1946, 1965, 2018.
Very long droughts persisted for forty years from 1910 to 1950, then they ceased for the next forty years.
The pattern does not match a model of climate change that supposes that droughts have been getting (a) more frequent or (b) more extreme.

Details are in posts such as:


What caused the record heat in Europe -June 2019?

Thanks to a post from Michael Ventrice on twitter the answer is straight forward.