Nicola Scafetta: On the astronomical origin of the Hallstatt oscillation found in radiocarbon and climate records throughout the Holocene.

NICOLA SCAFETTA SEPTEMBER 2016 “Hallstatt oscillation (about 2318 year period), which is observed in climate and solar records is a major stable resonance of the solar system. The paper also evaluates the other major planetary stable resonances and we found all other typical oscillations found in climate and solar records such as a quasi 20-year oscillation, a quasi 60-year oscillation, the 82-97 year Gleissberg oscillation and the 159-185 year Jose oscillation (and others).”

Tallbloke's Talkshop

fig1-scafetta

Nicola Scafetta writes:

Dear all,

it was a pleasure to meet you at London. Some of you asked me about my paper in press about a link between astronomical, solar and climate oscillations. Here it is:

Scafetta, N., Milani, F., Antonio Bianchini, A., Ortolani, S.: On the astronomical origin of the Hallstatt oscillation found in radiocarbon and climate records throughout the Holocene. Earth-Science Reviews 162, 24–43, 2016. There is a free access to the article, and is valid for anybody until November 10, 2016 by using this link  http://authors.elsevier.com/a/1TlSB2weQTZcD

(Permanent copy here)

The importance of the article is that it demonstrates quite clearly that the long Hallstatt oscillation (about 2318 year period), which is observed in climate and solar records is a major stable resonance of the solar system. The paper also evaluates the other major planetary stable resonances and we found all other typical oscillations found in climate and…

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Fibonacci and the earths climate

It is well known that the universe is not a chaotic system but governed by laws that are predictable. All of creation exhibits order. The Fibonacci series and the ‘golden numbers’ are found in all ordered and stable components of all living and non living things.

https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2013/02/20/a-remarkable-discovery-all-solar-system-periods-fit-the-fibonacci-series-and-the-golden-ratio-why-phi/

So why wouldn’t we find Fibonacci numbers in the weather and earths climate.

I have started this post on Tom Mangos request and posted his table of Fibonacci and conjunction cycles as requested. Tom studies the sun, moon  and the large planets Jupiter and Saturn and  there links to the earths climate .

fibonacci_1and-conjunctipn-cycles

 

 

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The suns acceleration linked to the earths ice age cycles by TOM MANGO

 

minimum1843

minimum1986

https://goo.gl/photos/U2vt37BGBdMtknRg6

Hi Sue,
These two graphs indicate that there are times when solar
minimum occurs at or near the same location on the ecliptic.

When the Sun’s acceleration decreases during an Ice-age cycle
it’s orbit becomes more circular and average solar cycle length
becomes longer (approaching 11.86 years).

During the 12,000 year inter-glacial periods there is evidence
that this is happening to a lesser degree. Notice the 143 year
separation (Bretagnon wave?) between 1843 and 1986.

Tom

CRIKEY said”feel freee to ask TOM questions in the comments section below.
This post is an ongoing study of Toms’
Use the search facility to find his previous posts

l store all of Toms graphs in my solar system and the earths climate folder found here

https://photos.google.com/album/AF1QipPZNZR5fK3hL3r49fNZMvS_rEPP_5IyP3lQmlwR

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TOM MANGO supports Scafetta 2016 research on the role of the planetary gas giants on earths climate

Dr Scafetta has a new paper out in 2016

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2016/05/21/nicola-scafetta-high-resolution-coherence-analysis-between-planetary-and-climate-oscillations/

Tom has contacted me with some of his own calculations to support Scafettas findings

He wrote

“Hey Sue,

Scafetta’s new paper is all about validating the 60 year
cycle using highly technical methods.
I use an extremely simple method of sums with

very interesting results.

Here’s a table and a graph I’ve put together:’
————————————————————
l WILL LET TOM EXPLAIN HIS WORK IN THE COMMENTS SECTION BELOW
PLEASE CLICK ON THE TITLE OF THIS POST TO LOAD ALL FURTHER COMMENTS AND DISCUSSION BELOW
PLEASE FEEL FREE TO CONTRIBUTEjup_sat_inequality2btom2bmango2bmay2b2016
synodic_table2btom2bmangomarch2b2016
STORAGE OF THE ABOVE GRAPHS ARE LOCATED  HERE
The above works belongs to TOM MANGO

CONTACT TOM MANGO HERE
Readers can contact me at TLMango10@gmail.com
or via this post in the comments section below..

Nicola Scafetta: High resolution coherence analysis between planetary and climate oscillations

extract from abstract
“… using the canonical correlation analysis at least five coherent frequencies at the 95% significance level are found at the following periods: 6.6, 7.4, 14, 20
and 60 years. Thus, high resolution coherence analysis confirms that the climate system can be partially modulated by astronomical
forces of gravitational, electromagnetic and solar origin. A possible chain of the physical causes explaining this coherence is briefly
discussed.
2016 COSPAR. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved”SCAFETTA 2016′

http://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0273117716300084-gr1.jpg

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0273117716300084

http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0273117716300084/1-s2.0-S0273117716300084-main.pdf

click on the totle of this post to load all comments below

Tallbloke's Talkshop

Image credit: NASA Image credit: NASA
Note from the author: I am sending you my new paper. It has been just published.

Scafetta, N.: High resolution coherence analysis between planetary and climate oscillations.
Advances in Space Research 57, 2121-2135, 2016.
DOI: 10.1016/j.asr.2016.02.029

To help access and share the article, there is the following article link, which will provide free access to the article until June 9, 2016.
http://authors.elsevier.com/a/1SvYs~6OiTa4q

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Maunder, Dalton , Gliessburg, Oort, MWP wolf , sporer

CLICK ON TITLE TO LOAD DISCUSSION IN THE COMMENTS BELOW

NEW RESEARCH . DECEMBER 2015..

TOM MANGO FINDS THE  MAUNDER MINIMUM IS PART OF A REPEATING CYCLE

His research and current forum discussion is found

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2016/01/08/earths-climate-linked-to-jupiter-saturn-and-the-solar-system-barycentre-discussion-open/comment-page-1/#comment-4198

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2015/01/08/following-tom-mango/

 

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EARTHS CLIMATE LINKED TO JUPITER / SATURN and the SOLAR SYSTEM BARYCENTRE.. Discussion open

TOM MANGO has undergoing research on this topic. Here are a few of his latest graphs showing some key cycles that are open to link to earths climate
His email is
tlmango10@gmail.com




TOMS EXPLANATION..
The first graph is the sixtyoneyear graph which contains equ(3) in orchid.
If we perform peak-to-peak analysis on equ(3) using every fifth peak we will extract a 2208 year (Hallstatt) cycle.
Notice that the Hallstatt has a 144 year wave oscillating on it (second and fourth graphs).
I discovered this wave but I named it after Pierre Bretagnon.
This peak-to-peak analysis simply measures the change expressed in terms of mass.

Now… If we analyze every fifth peak we find there is actually five combinations (not demonstrated in the graphs).
So… There is actually five overlapping Hallstatt cycles produced, each separated by a phase of ~441.6 years (2208 / 5).
One of the five Hallstatt cycles was in agreement with the Damon and Sonnet 14C data.
I chose the one that was in agreement and that is the fourth graph.

The third graph is a climate projection based on the work of others.
Here I’ve made a huge discovery involving the ~1000 year millennial cycle.
In my model minimums advance along a 914 year wave and these minimums re-occur at ~1000 year intervals.
So…. the next minimum scheduled to repeat itself is the Oort minimum, which should happen in 2070.
It was later that I discovered the Bretagnon wave and that the millennial cycle was really 1008 years (144 x 7).

KEEP TUNED for discussion and please feel free to ask tom questions here
His email is
tlmango10@gmail.com

——————–

If you want more detail on the development of these findings. I have a post dedicated to TOM MANGO’s work

here

https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2015/01/08/following-tom-mango/comment-page-1/#comment-4077

You might have to scroll through the pages

Hot Days in Manilla NSW Australia and ENSO

‘SURLY BOND’ FROM MANILLA IN NSW AUSTRALIA HAS NOTED SOME INTERESTING TEMPERATURE CYCLES and their C0RREIati0n WITH ENS0
http://climatebysurly.com/2015/07/08/el-nino-and-my-climate/

https://climatebysurly.files.wordpress.com/2015/07/ensomanillatmax.gif

http://climatebysurly.com/2015/07/18/hot-days-and-enso/

“The reality of this temperature curve is supported by its close similarity to the recognised curve of the El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO), as read from NINO3.4 Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies.”

More frequent hot days do not come in a three year cycle, but in a 1.5 year cycle related to ENSO.

https://climatebysurly.files.wordpress.com/2015/07/hotdlogwithtmax.gif
“This curve swings up and down rather regularly, with five peaks and five dips in the fifteen years. That is, more frequent hot days seem to come in a three-year cycle.”
“There are about 10 peaks and 10 dips in the 15.5 year curve. They define a cycle of about 1.5 years wavelength. ” . .
———————————————————————–
http://climatebysurly.com/2015/07/18/hot-days-and-enso/
http://climatebysurly.com/2015/07/08/el-nino-and-my-climate/

climate by surly

Graphical log of max temps and hot days

More frequent hot days do not come in a three year cycle, but in a 1.5 year cycle related to ENSO.

The Hot Day data set

The graph of number of hot days per year

Log of annual hot days in 16 yearsThe graph on the left is one I posted earlier. The height of each data point represents the number of hot days in a year, plotted near January. The pattern of points led me to join them by a smooth curve. This curve swings up and down rather regularly, with five peaks and five dips in the fifteen years. That is, more frequent hot days seem to come in a three-year cycle.
Is this cycle “real”? Should we look for a cause? Will the cycle continue?
Probably not! The points of measurement are one year apart. Cycles that are only three years long may be “aliases” of different and shorter undetectable cycles. (See Note below on Nyquist frequency.)

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FOLLOWING.. TOM MANGO

PLEASE CLICK ON THE TITLE OF THIS POST TO LOAD ALL FURTHER ENTRIES

TOM MANGO IS A KEEN ASTROPHYSICIST AND UNDERTAKES CONSIDERABLE PRIVATE RESEARCH IN THIS AREA
I HAVE DEDICATED THIS POST TO DOCUMENTING SOME OF TOM’S INVESTIGATIONS.
I FIRST MET TOM AT TALLBLOKE WORDPRESS BLOG

TOM HAS AN INTEREST IN THE LARGE OUTER PLANETS AND EARTHS CLIMATE AND IS RECENTLY INVESTIGATING THE BARYCENTRE OF JUPITER AND THE SUN .
TOM HAS SENT ME A TASTE OF HIS CURRENT RESEARCH( January 2015) I WILL LET TOM EXPLAIN .

tom mango J _ sS barycentre

Zoom in here
https://picasaweb.google.com/110600540172511797362/SOLARSYSTEMAndClimate#6102894955554622546

I WAS HONORED TO HAVE TOM EMAIL ME in 2015 RE : INTEREST IN MY CURRENT STUDY OF THE SCHWABE TRIPLETS AND THE DIRECT CONNECTION TO THE EARTHS NATURAL QUASI 66 YR TEMPERATURE CYCLE.

We discuss this here
https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2014/05/15/schwabbe-triplets-and-earths-climate/

CONTACT TOM MANGO HERE
Readers can contact me at TLMango10@gmail.com
or via this post in the comments section below..

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PLEASE CLICK ON THE TITLE OF THIS POST TO LOAD ALL FURTHER ENTRIES