Hi Petros
Sorry the posts are are bit messy atm. I am collecting some of my cycle research pictures l have collected over the years and trying to put them in some order .
Doing this while the OZ weather is relatively quiet
I started this post yesterday as l follow ‘Tallbloke’ wordpress blog which got me interested last year on the solar system and earths climate.
A very controversial topic amongst scientists l have gathered
I recommend this blog to you if you are interested in this topic http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/
and his links
I do frequent there to become more informed in this area
They are quite technical but l have picked up some concepts
Very sad that Anthony Watts of WUWT has banned Tallbloke blogists as He reckons these theories are rubbish.
There is quite a ‘war ‘between the 2 camps
cheers. Thanks for dropping by!
New findings in 2003 based on the study of data from NASA’s Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP) on cosmic background radiation reveal that the universe is finite and shaped like a dodecahedron, a geometric shape based on pentagons, ,
He said
“To make the shift requires timing of many moving parts to be aligned. ”
and Old brews comments about the Metonic cycle http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metonic_cycle
A google search yielded this amazing ancient ASTROLOGICAL COMPUTER
calculation of the position of the Sun and Moon and other astronomical information, such as moon phases, eclipse cycles, and theoretically the locations of planets.
It has at least 30 gears
The gear teeth were in the form of equilateral triangles
“”The timings of the orbital interactions of Jupiter and Saturn, Jupiter Earth and Venus, and the four Gas giants all coincide with various periods solar activity varies over.”
One such presentation by Nicola
The Sun, the Moon, and the Planets: The Astronomical Origins of Climate Change on Earth. PDF At the John Locke Foundation, 18 November 2013.
“This Blog was originally set up by Carl Smith as a discussion point and repository of Theodor Landscheidt’s work…
the role of the relationship between the Centre of Mass of the Solar System and the Centre of the Sun on cycles of solar activity and their effects on the Earth’s climate ”
Evidence for Planetary Forcing of the Cosmic Ray Intensity and Solar Activity Throughout the Past 9400 Years
K. G. McCracken, J. Beer, F. Steinhilber
Abstract
Paleo-cosmic-ray (PCR) records based on cosmogenic 10Be and 14C data are used to study the variations in cosmic-ray intensity and solar activity over the past 9400 years.
There are four strong correlations with the motion of the Jovian planets; the probability of occurring by chance being < 10−5. They are
i) the PCR periodicities at 87, 350, 510, and 710 years, which closely approximate integer multiples of half the Uranus–Neptune synodic period;
ii) eight periodicities in the torques calculated to be exerted by the planets on an asymmetric tachocline that approximate the periods observed in the PCR
; iii) the maxima of the long-term PCR variations are coincident with syzygy (alignment) of the four Jovian planets in 5272 and 644 BP; and
iv) in the time domain,
the PCR (paleo cosmic ray )intensity decreases during the first 60 years of the ≈ 172 year Jose cycle (Jose, Astron. J. 70, 193, 1965)
and increases in the remaining ≈ 112 years
in association with barycentric anomalies in the distance between the Sun and the center of mass of the solar system.
Furthermore, sunspot and neutron-monitor data show that three anomalous sunspot cycles (4th, 7th, and 20th) and the long sunspot minimum of 2006 – 2009 CE coincided with the first and second barycentric anomalies of the 58th and 59th Jose cycles.
Phase lags between the planetary and heliospheric effects are ≤ five years.
The 20 largest Grand Minima during the past 9400 years coincided with the latter half of the Jose cycle in which they occurred.
These correlations are not of terrestrial origin, nor are they due to the planets’ contributing directly to the cosmic-ray modulation process in the heliosphere.
Low cosmic-ray intensity (higher solar activity) occurred when Uranus and Neptune were in superior conjunction (mutual cancellation),
while high intensities occurred when Uranus–Neptune were in inferior conjunction (additive effects).
Many of the prominent peaks in the PCR Fourier spectrum can be explained in terms of the Jose cycle, and the occurrence of barycentric anomalies.
15 Jan 2014
Responses of the basic cycles of 178.7 and 2402 yr in solar–terrestrial phenomena during the Holocene
I. Charvátová and P. Hejda
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 2, 21-26, 2014
Full Article (PDF, 737 KB)
17 Jan 2014
Preface: Pattern in solar variability, their planetary origin and terrestrial impacts
N.-A. Mörner, R. Tattersall, and J.-E. Solheim
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 203-204, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 140 KB)
16 Dec 2013
The Hum: log-normal distribution and planetary–solar resonance
R. Tattersall
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 185-198, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 803 KB)
10 Dec 2013
Apparent relations between planetary spin, orbit, and solar differential rotation
R. Tattersall
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 199-202, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 654 KB)
02 Dec 2013
Multiscale comparative spectral analysis of satellite total solar irradiance measurements from 2003 to 2013 reveals a planetary modulation of solar activity and its nonlinear dependence on the 11 yr solar cycle
N. Scafetta and R. C. Willson
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 123-133, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 2522 KB)
04 Dec 2013
A mathematical model of the sunspot cycle for the past 1000 yr
R. J. Salvador
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 117-122, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 2744 KB)
15 Nov 2013
General conclusions regarding the planetary–solar–terrestrial interaction
N.-A. Mörner, R. Tattersall, J.-E. Solheim, I. Charvatova, N. Scafetta, H. Jelbring, I. R. Wilson, R. Salvador, R. C. Willson, P. Hejda, W. Soon, V. M. Velasco Herrera, O. Humlum, D. Archibald, H. Yndestad, D. Easterbrook, J. Casey, G. Gregori, and G. Henriksson
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 205-206, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 126 KB)
The Gleissberg cycle is one of the slightly longer solar cycles, probably
modulating the Schwabe cycle (Wolf, 1862; Gleissberg, 1939).
Firstly assumed to have a duration of 88-years, Ogurtsov et al.
(2002) detected a characteristic split into a low-frequency band signal
of 50–80 years and a high-frequency signal between 90 and
140 years.
———————
Hmm that’s interesting . That indicates the 60 and 100 yr are probably major rather than minor
They are quasi because the fundamental unit is probably 11, the mean of the schwabe solar cycle. The length of this fundamental frequency ( solar cycle) changes in length determining the length of the schwabbe triplets and length of the AMO/~6oyr phase
Responses of the basic cycles of 178.7 and 2402yr in solar–terrestrial phenomena during the Holocene
I. Charvátová and P. Hejda
Institute of Geophysics, Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic published 2014
————————————————————————————-
MY NOTES and snaps from this most excellent research paper
———————————————————
SIM ( solar inertial motion)
Ordered and disordered trefoil
370 yr …. exceptional segments in steps of 2402 yrs (2402…370…2402…370 ..etc)
THe trefoil intervals are about 50 yrs long . The sun returns to the trefoil intervals always after 178.9 yr on average ( JOSE cycle ~178 yr)
During intermediate intervals the sun makes chaotic ( disordered lines)
Exceptional trefoil intervals ( 159 -208 AD ( 49 yr)….2561-2193 BC ( 368 yr) …4964-4598 BC ( 366yrs)
The deepest and longest minima of the Maunder/sporer type occured in the second half of the 2402 cycle( disordered SIM)——-
————————-
The Sun moves within an area of a diameter of 4.3 rs, where rs is the solar radius (see Fig. 1), or 3×1,000,000 km. ( 3 million km )
———————————
1. The periods found in the SIM (in all its motion characteristics such as the velocity, the acceleration, the radii of curvature, etc.) are higher harmonics of the basic period of 178.7yr (Bucha et al., 1985; Jakubcová and Pick, 1987). The basic period of 178.7yr was found by Jose (1965) and further described by Fairbridge and Shirley (1987). Charvátová and Stˇreštík (2004) detected such periods, between 6 and 16yr, in European temper- ature series and Charvátová-Jakubcová et al. (1988) de- tected these periods between 10 and 60yr in global au- rora records (cf. also Scafetta, 2012b). Since the solar motion characteristics are underlaid by variable geome- tries of the solar orbit, the results of spectral analyses are dependent on the intervals being employed (Charvátová and Stˇreštík, 1995). Scafetta and Wilson (2013) detected these periods in Hungarian aurora records since 1523.
2. Separation of the SIM into two basic types, the or- dered (in JS trefoils) and disordered (Charvátová, 1990, 1995).
3. The very long, regular cycle of 2402yr represents a repetition of the exceptional, nearly 370yr-long interval of trefoil solar motion.
( my comment : 179 * 2 = 358yr………….. 2402 / 370 = 6.5……2402/ 179 = 13.4)
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The layered Sun is forced to move along the given loops and arcs, its velocity ranges between 36 and 64kmh−1, its mean velocity is about 50kmh−1.
Charatova (2009) showed that the SIMs in the years 1840–1905 and 1980–2045 are nearly identical and of a moderately chaotic type. The future (forthcoming) behaviours of ST phenomena are likely to be analogous to those after 1873
( my comment : The global temp decline fropm1840 to 1910was moderate witha drop of about 0.2 deg c) https://picasaweb.google.com/110600540172511797362/TIMESERIESAndTrends#6015800923255921298
TREFOIL STABLE PHASE.
Note the triangle in the geometry
There was a paper published by the Astronomical Journal in April, 1965 ( vol. 70, page 193) by Paul D. Jose which described just such an effect. He noted that the Sun and planets orbit about a point called the barycenter of the solar system which is located between 0.01 and 2.2 times the radius of the Sun from the Sun’s center. The path of the Sun is actually a loop-de-loop about this point which doesn’t close upon itself like an ordinary planetary orbit. Jose discovered that although this motion is complicated,
– the Sun returns to roughly its starting position with respect to this point every 179 years, which he noted is 9 times the synodic period of Jupiter and Saturn.
This means that every 179 years as seen from the Sun, Jupiter and Saturn return to the same spot in the sky.
He looked at the sunspot record from 1610 to 1954 and found evidence of this same period in the maxima and minima of the 11 year sunspot cycle. In other words,
superimposed upon the 11-year cycle, there was a 179 year modulation of the amplitudes of each cycle.
This modulation matched the phase of the rate of change in time of the Sun’s angular momentum (dL/dt) with respect to the barycenter. He concluded that “Certain forces exerted upon the Sun by the planets are the cause of the sunspot cycle”
A quick citation search of the literature shows that even by 1990, this paper is still getting about 2-3 cites per year by other researchers who study long-term changes in the Sun’s sunspot cycles, luminosity, and other factors. In 1974, an article appeared in Nature ( vol. 250, page 398) by Theodore Cohen and Paul Lintz which argued that Jose’s 179 year periodicity is not externally-produced, but is a simple beat frequency. They constructed a time spectrum of the sunspot data and discovered that there were significant peaks at periods of 8.3, 9.8, 11.0 and 95.8 years, and that the 11 year and 9.8 year periods which dominate the sunspot ‘cycle’ had a beat frequency of 181 years, very similar to Jose’s 179 year modulation period.
In 1990, astronomers James Shirley, Kenneth Serber and Rhodes Fairbridge studied the frequency content of the solar irradiance measurements returned from the Nimbus 7 satellite over an 89-month timescale ( 7 years) and noted that the variations in the total solar brightness did change with the ‘second derivative’ of the solar angular momentum ( d^2L/dt^2), and are primarily caused by Mercury and Venus. They also predicted that there ought to be modulations caused by the Earth and the outer planets, but 89- months of data is too short to detect these much longer-term oscillations of the solar irradiance.
These authors refer to Jose’s work on dL/dt correlations, only in a brief comment in a figure caption. Most of the references are directed towards papers by Fairbridge and Shirley , and by Wolff and Hickey in 1987. These appeared in the journals Solar Physics ( vol. 110 page 191) and Science (vol. 235 page 1631). The Fairbridge and Shirley article is very generous in referring to Jose’s 1965 article, and provides an extended discussion of the significance of his discovery in the context of other studies of long-term solar oscillations. They note that the interaction between the planets and the Sun which modulates the sunspot maxima cannot be tidal because the tidal forces of the planets at the solar surface is one TRILLIONTH of the gravitational force at the Sun’s surface. They speculate that there must be some direct, inertial coupling between the Sun’s motion about the barycenter and its internal convection pattern which generates the 11-year cycle.
——————————————————————————–
Copyright 1997 Dr. Sten Odenwald
Ian Wilson correlates the North Pacific index, including the Sea surface temp anomaly and surface pressure anomaly with the conjunctions and opposition of Jupiter and Saturn
He notes 19.86 yr cycles embedded in a longer 59 yr repeating pattern( 3 * 19.86 = 59 yr)
and
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, VOL. 20, NO. 5, 2003, PP. 694–710 694
Joint Propagating Patterns of SST and SLP Anomalies in the
North Pacific on Bidecadal and Pentadecadal Timescales
ZHU Yimin and YANG Xiuqun
He has overlayed the conjunction and opposition of Jupiter and Saturn on the North pacific index data
THANKS to Warwick Hughes blog http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=3007
for alerting to this new book
From the melody of the oceans to climate change: a fight against ostracism
Authored by J. L. Pinault
List Price: $33.33
looks like it could be a good read https://www.createspace.com/4741436 (an AMAZON company)
Seeing all this seems to be going down the path in part to planetary conjunctions and oppositions etc
Thought l might collect a few handy links here for future reference
Jupiter / Saturn conjunctions http://www.astropro.com/features/tables/geo/ju-sa/ju000sa.html
I am not into astrology at all so don’t get icky about the author. He has got what l need . The data
Had a look at some dates that l needed tonight and had NO luck.
————————————————–
New paper finds natural variability of N Carolina climate explained by solar activity & AMO http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2014/05/new-paper-finds-natural-variability-of.html
Friday, May 23, 2014
New paper finds natural variability of N Carolina climate explained by solar activity & AMO
——————————–extracted from Hockeyschtick
A paper published today in Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics finds “the natural variability of climate change in NC [North Carolina] during 1950–2009 can be explained mostly by the AMO [Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation] and solar activity.”
Prior papers have also found the AMO driven by solar activity. Climate scientists claim the tiny 0.1% variations in total solar irradiance over solar cycles cannot affect climate, but this paper and many others suggest that solar amplification mechanisms including via ocean oscillations can cause large scale effects on climate.
Figure 1 notice the variance in the sixteen loops around the center of gravity of the solar system. This is evidence that the Sun’s orbit, or helio-epoch, is variable.
Figure 1 is the projection on the plane of the orbit of Jupiter and the orbit of the Sun about the center of gravity of the solar system. The orbit starts in 1820.00 and is complete 178.76 years later in 1998.76. Then a new orbit begins and is followed until 2020.20. A circuit of the center of gravity is made every 8 to 14 years
Jose’s(1965) work indicated that this helio-epoch of the Sun does cause effects on Sunspots.
Jose [1965] showed that the orbit of the Sun has an effect on sunspots and other phenomena on the Sun as did Landscheidt[1976]. Jose [1965] postulated that the orbit of the Sun caused sunspots. By postulating time derivative of the angular momentum of the curve the Sun’s orbit about the instantaneous center of curvature for the years 1616 to 2024. He showed that years up to 1963 correlated with sunspot cycle. Evidence that the angular velocity of the Earth’s rotation is directly effected by the angular momentum of the Sun’s orbit is shown in Figure 2.
Therefore, the Sun-Earth orbital motion has effects on Earth just as it does on the Sun. The Earth does not react the same from this orbital motion as the Sun does. The Sun reacts with changes in Sunspots and other various phenomena. The Earth on the other hand reacts with changing weather and climate. Simultaneous events between the Earth and the Sun in their orbits are shown in Figure 3.
Figure 3 is taken from Labitzke and Van Loon [1996] and shows the solar flux of 10.7 cm wave length radiation from the sun [which varies with the Sunspot Cycle] versus the average height of the 30 hPa (30 mb) surface averaged over a large part of the Pacific Ocean. The curves have a high correlation with each other as can be seen in Figure 3.
This orbit was responsible for certain solar phenomena and that this mysterious and unknown link must be at work to cause certain atmospheric phenomena also. Landscheidt[1984-2002] has shown links in the orbit to El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, the Quasi Biannual Oscillation, and floods in the Po Valley
Freeman and Hasling[1995] related the Sun’s orbit about the center of gravity of the solar system to the frequency of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basin and forecasts of average temperatures for stations across the United States.
Labiteske and Van Loon [1995] made the most acceptable cases for a relationship when they showed that the solar flux of 10.7 cm wave length radiation from the sun controlled the height of the 30 hpa surface over the Pacific Ocean.
When Jose[1965] outlined the various aspects of the orbit he computed the moment of the orbit about the center of mass of the solar system and its time derivative or torque. This is a time dependant periodic function called the torque cycle as named by Landscheidt [1986].
Landscheidt[2002] related various phenomena on the Sun and the Earth to the torque cycle. This cycle was chosen as the best aspect of the orbit of which to relate phenomena. Landscheidt [1986] first used the torque cycle of the Sun’s motion about the center of mass of the solar system to show that the orbit affected certain aspects of solar activity. Landscheidt[1986] used the torque cycle to forecast sunspot cycles.
“In reality, it is the center of mass, or barycenter, of the Earth-moon pair that moves with smooth elliptical orbit about the solar system’s barycenter.”
The remark is misleading. It would be more accurate to say that the Earth is in orbit about the center of the Sun and the Sun is in orbit about the center of mass of the solar system.
SUMMARY
For whatever reason the fact that the Earth is in orbit about the center of the Sun and the Sun is in orbit about the center of mass of the solar system has not been emphasized by astronomers and other scientists. The consequences that the Earth participating in the Sun’s orbit forms the link between simultaneous events on the Earth and the Sun. This has not been pointed out until now.
( unfortunately the diagrams are no longer connected)
——————–
TRY HERE
Jose, P. D., Sun’s Motion and Sunspots, Astronomical Journal 10, (1), 193-200, 1965
Eddy, J. A., The Maunder Minimum, Science 192, 1189, 1976
Labitzke, K. and H. van Loon, Connection between the troposphere and stratosphere on a decadal scale, Meteorologisches Institut, Freie Universitat, Berlin, C.-H.-Becker-Weg 6-10, 12165 Berlin, 1995.
Labitzke, K. and H. van Loon, The Signal of the 11-year Sunspot Cycle in the Upper Troposphere-Lower Troposphere, Report of Stratospheric Research Group,
Landscheidt, T., Beziehungen zwischen der Sonnenaktvitat und dem Massenzentrum des Sonnensystems, Nachrichten der Olbers-Gessellschaft 100, 1976.
Landscheidt, T., Solar oscillations, sunspot cycles, and climatic change, in Weather and climate responses to solar variations, edited by B.M. McCormac, pp. 293-308, Associated University Press, Boulder, 1983.
Landscheidt, T., Long-range forecast of energetic x-ray bursts based on cycles of flares, in Solar-terrestrial predictions, Proceedings of a workshop at Meudon, 18.-22.
Juni 1984, edited by P.A.Simon, G. Heckman, und M. A., Shea, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, pp. 81-89, Boulder, 1986a.
Landscheidt, T. Long-range forecast of sunspot cycles, in Solar-terrestrial predictions, Proceedings of a workshop at Meudon, 18.-22. Juni 1984, edited by P.A. Simon,
G. Heckman, und M. A., Shea, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, pp. 48-57, Boulder, 1986b.
Landscheidt, T., Long-range forecasts of solar cycles and climate change, in Climate, History, Periodicity, and predictability, edited by M. R. Rampino, J. E. Sanders,
W. S. Newman, und L. K. K”nigsson, van Nostrand Reinhold, pp. 421-445, New York, 1987.
Landscheidt, T., Solar rotation, impulses of the torque in the Sun’s motion, and climatic variation, Climatic Change 12, 265-295, 1988.
Landscheidt, T., Relationship between rainfall in the Northern Hemisphere and impulses of the torque in the Sun’s motion, in Climate impact of solar variability edited by
K.H. Schatten and A. Arking, NASA, 259-266, Greenbelt, 1990.
Landscheidt, T., Global warming or Little Ice Age?, in Holocene cycles, A Jubilee volume in celebration of the 80th birthday of Rhodes W. Fairbridge, edited by C.W. Finkl, The
Coastal Education and Research Foundation (CERF), 371-382, Fort Lauderdale, 1995.
Landscheidt, T., Forecast of global temperature, El Niño, and cloud coverage by astronomical means, in Global Warming. The continuing debate, edited by R. Bate, The European
Science and Environment Forum (ESEF), 172-183, Cambridge, 1998.
Landscheidt, T., Extrema in sunspot cycle linked to sun’s motion. Solar Physics 189, 413-424, 1999.
Landscheidt, T., Solar forcing of El Niño and La Nina, ESA Special Publication 463, 135-140/, 2000a.
Landscheidt, T., River Po discharges and cycles of solar activity. Hydrol. Sci. J. 45, 491-493, 2000b.
Motte, A., The Mathematical Principles of Natural Philosophy by Sir Isaac Newton (1729), Dawsons of Pall Mall, London, 1968.
Schwabe, A.N., Sonen-Beobachtungen, Jhare 1843 Astron. Nacr., 21, 233, 1844.Waldmeir, M., The sunspot activity in the years 1610-1960, Schulthess & Co. AG, Zurich,
“4.5 The Jupiter–Saturn commensurability
149×Tj = 1767.47; 60×Ts = 1767.46; 89Tj||Ts = 1767.47 (yr)
This truly remarkable 6-digit commensurability is close to being exact.
The orbital periods might be variable, but the commensurabilities should be of a more stable nature than the periods themselves.
It is quite possible that this cycle is the Grand Cycle of our Solar System. ”
—————-
Inner planets
“These are 3 interlocked 6-digit commensurabilities and can hardly be considered as “produced” by chance. They simply imply that there has to exist an unknown force affecting energy transfer in the Solar System. Furthermore, there is also a “master” period, which includes the remaining inner planet Venus.
969 × Tsid || Te = 28615.1 (days or 78.343yr)
920 × Tsid || Tv = 28615.2 722 × Tsid || Tme = 28615.2 198 × Tme || Tv = 28615.4 247 × Tme || Te = 28615.1 49 × Tv || Te = 28613.8”
———–
Fabulous graphs produced by Dr Scafetta
Showing a couple of examples of the synchronicity of the planets
Really enjoyed reading this publication. Great for anyone with an interest. Not too technical and just mind blowing facts!!
The complex planetary synchronization structure of the solar system
N. Scafetta
Extracted from the Introduction as a sample
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“Due to gravitational planetary perturbations, the elliptical elements of the orbit of the Earth are slowly changing in time, as is the orientation of the planet’s spin axis. These changes induce variations of the insolation received on the Earth’s surface.
The first computation of the secular variations of the Earth’s orbital elements were made by Lagrange (1781, 1782), and then Pontécoulant (1834), but it was the work of Agassiz (1840), showing geological evidence of past ice ages, that triggered the search for a correlation between the geological evidence of large climatic changes, and the variations of the Earth’s astronomical parameters. Shortly after, Adhémar (1842) proposed that these climatic variations originated from the precession of the Earth’s rotation axis.
Abstract
“Several recent studies have found variability in the Northern Hemisphere winter climate related to different parameters of solar activity. While these results consistently indicate some kind of solar modulation of tropospheric and stratospheric circulation and surface temperature, opinions on the exact mechanism and the solar driver differ. Proposed drivers include, e.g., total solar irradiance (TSI), solar UV radiation, galactic cosmic rays and magnetospheric energetic particles.
While some of these drivers are difficult to distinguish because of their closely similar variation over the solar cycle, other suggested drivers have clear differences in their solar cycle evolution.
For example,
geomagnetic activity and magnetospheric particle fluxes peak in the declining phase of the sunspot cycle, in difference to TSI and UV radiation which more closely follow sunspots.
Using 13 solar cycles (1869–2009) we study winter surface temperatures and North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) during four different phases of the sunspot cycle: minimum, ascending, maximum and declining phase.
We find significant differences in the temperature patterns between the four cycle phases, which indicates a solar cycle modulation of winter surface temperatures.
However, the clearest pattern of the temperature anomalies is not found during sunspot maximum or minimum, but during the declining phase, when the temperature pattern closely resembles the pattern found during positive NAO. Moreover, we find the same pattern during the low sunspot activity cycles of 100 years ago, suggesting that the pattern is largely independent of the overall level of solar activity.”
Thanks to ‘Old brew’ for this info
———
Elements of a
166 year cycle
there?
Timo Niroma: ’14 Jovian years is 166.07 calendar years. Are 1645, 1810 and 1976 synchpoint years having between them 15 sunspot cycles equalling 14 Jovian years and beginning a new phase in the Sun?’
‘The recent Gleissberg cycle maximum around 1984 is the first in a long sequence of maxima connected with zero phases in the 166-year cycle, four of which are marked by empty circles in the diagram from Landscheidt’s paper.’
Landscheidt’s own paper – see part 7:
‘166-year cycle in variations of the rotary force driving the sun’s orbital motion’
‘The presented results indicate that the Gleissberg cycle is a bistable oscillator capable of assuming either of two states. The transition between these states seems to be triggered by special phases in the 166-year cycle which induce phase reversals.’
Abstract: ‘The procedures lead to optimal estimates for P and Q. Our best estimates, judging from comprehensive sets of Monte Carlo simulations, are P=433.7 ± 1.8 (1σ) days, Q=49 with a lσ range of (35, 100).’”
Another Landcheidt paper
Apr 20, 1990 – Landscheidt, T. (1981):
Swinging Sun, 79-Year Cycle, and Climatic Change, … Earth’s connections with other cosmic bodies in the solar system environment. … SUN-EARTH-MAN: A MESH OFCOSMIC OSCILLATIONS.
quote
“The first process involved are impulses of the torque (IOT) in the Sun’s
motion about the centre of mass of the solar system (CM) that were mentioned
already.
They are induced by special heliocentric consteIIations of the giant
planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus,.and Neptune.
Figure 18 shows the ecIiptic
positions of CM relative to the Sun’s centre for 1945 to 1995.
The heliocentric
representation and the line marking the limb of the Sun make it easy to see
whether CM is to be found above or below the Sun’s surface; most of the time
it is on the outside of the Sun’s body.
The distance of both centres varies from
0.01 to 2.19 solar radii.
It takes 9 to 14 years to complete one revolution
——————-
Hmmm. .. Range of schwabe solar cycle length is 9-14 yrs.. So we measure solar cycle length by the arc of the curve/ diameter of ellipse drawn by barycentre pattern?
What is the math to find the circumference of the ellipse?
Now your really talkin’ Crickey. I’ll bet 2 slabs that there’l be something very interesting to emerge from this delve!
Hi Petros
Sorry the posts are are bit messy atm. I am collecting some of my cycle research pictures l have collected over the years and trying to put them in some order .
Doing this while the OZ weather is relatively quiet
I started this post yesterday as l follow ‘Tallbloke’ wordpress blog which got me interested last year on the solar system and earths climate.
A very controversial topic amongst scientists l have gathered
I recommend this blog to you if you are interested in this topic
http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/
and his links
I do frequent there to become more informed in this area
They are quite technical but l have picked up some concepts
Very sad that Anthony Watts of WUWT has banned Tallbloke blogists as He reckons these theories are rubbish.
There is quite a ‘war ‘between the 2 camps
cheers. Thanks for dropping by!
The shape of the Universe itself is a dodecahedron based on Phi
http://www.goldennumber.net/solar-system/
http://www.goldennumber.net/geometry/
New findings in 2003 based on the study of data from NASA’s Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP) on cosmic background radiation reveal that the universe is finite and shaped like a dodecahedron, a geometric shape based on pentagons, ,
which are based on phi.
http://www.goldennumber.net/universe/
.
An outstanding resource for any time series related to solar here
http://www.climate4you.com/Sun.htm#Sunspot activity since 1700
From Climate Realist blog
R.G Sparrow from Tallbloke blog got me thinking about his comment on gears in the solar system
He said
“To make the shift requires timing of many moving parts to be aligned. ”
and Old brews comments about the Metonic cycle
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metonic_cycle
A google search yielded this amazing ancient ASTROLOGICAL COMPUTER
ANTIKYTHERA MECHANISM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antikythera_mechanism
calculation of the position of the Sun and Moon and other astronomical information, such as moon phases, eclipse cycles, and theoretically the locations of planets.
It has at least 30 gears
The gear teeth were in the form of equilateral triangles
Schematic diagram proposal
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/51/Gearing_Relationships_of_the_Antikythera_Mechanism.svg/290px-Gearing_Relationships_of_the_Antikythera_Mechanism.svg.
MODERN RE-CONSTRUCTION
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The Sun dances the Jupiter-Venus two-step
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“”The timings of the orbital interactions of Jupiter and Saturn, Jupiter Earth and Venus, and the four Gas giants all coincide with various periods solar activity varies over.”
RC theory by JOHN CASEY
http://www.spaceandscience.net/id64.html
RC Theory, Copyright. John L. Casey April 30, 2007
Click to access ssrcresearchreport1-2008therctheory.pdf
NICOLA SCAFETTA
has plenty of OUTSTANDING research
for beginners and advanced alike
His home page with Index
http://people.duke.edu/~ns2002/
One such presentation by Nicola
The Sun, the Moon, and the Planets: The Astronomical Origins of Climate Change on Earth. PDF At the John Locke Foundation, 18 November 2013.
http://landscheidt.wordpress.com/
“This Blog was originally set up by Carl Smith as a discussion point and repository of Theodor Landscheidt’s work…
the role of the relationship between the Centre of Mass of the Solar System and the Centre of the Sun on cycles of solar activity and their effects on the Earth’s climate ”
http://www.landscheidt.info
Geoff Sharp
You will not regret a tour through this excellent blog
Evidence for Planetary Forcing of the Cosmic Ray Intensity and Solar Activity Throughout the Past 9400 Years
K. G. McCracken, J. Beer, F. Steinhilber
Abstract
Paleo-cosmic-ray (PCR) records based on cosmogenic 10Be and 14C data are used to study the variations in cosmic-ray intensity and solar activity over the past 9400 years.
There are four strong correlations with the motion of the Jovian planets; the probability of occurring by chance being < 10−5. They are
i) the PCR periodicities at 87, 350, 510, and 710 years, which closely approximate integer multiples of half the Uranus–Neptune synodic period;
ii) eight periodicities in the torques calculated to be exerted by the planets on an asymmetric tachocline that approximate the periods observed in the PCR
; iii) the maxima of the long-term PCR variations are coincident with syzygy (alignment) of the four Jovian planets in 5272 and 644 BP; and
iv) in the time domain,
the PCR (paleo cosmic ray )intensity decreases during the first 60 years of the ≈ 172 year Jose cycle (Jose, Astron. J. 70, 193, 1965)
and increases in the remaining ≈ 112 years
in association with barycentric anomalies in the distance between the Sun and the center of mass of the solar system.
Furthermore, sunspot and neutron-monitor data show that three anomalous sunspot cycles (4th, 7th, and 20th) and the long sunspot minimum of 2006 – 2009 CE coincided with the first and second barycentric anomalies of the 58th and 59th Jose cycles.
Phase lags between the planetary and heliospheric effects are ≤ five years.
The 20 largest Grand Minima during the past 9400 years coincided with the latter half of the Jose cycle in which they occurred.
These correlations are not of terrestrial origin, nor are they due to the planets’ contributing directly to the cosmic-ray modulation process in the heliosphere.
Low cosmic-ray intensity (higher solar activity) occurred when Uranus and Neptune were in superior conjunction (mutual cancellation),
while high intensities occurred when Uranus–Neptune were in inferior conjunction (additive effects).
Many of the prominent peaks in the PCR Fourier spectrum can be explained in terms of the Jose cycle, and the occurrence of barycentric anomalies.
————————————–
Geoff Sharpe has a post on this research here
http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node/325
Responses of the basic cycles of 178.7 and 2402 yr in solar–terrestrial phenomena during the Holocene
I. Charvátová and P. Hejda
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 2, 21-26, 2014
Full Article (PDF, 737 KB) Special Issue
Click to access prp-2-21-2014.pdf
17 Jan 2014
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The complex planetary synchronization structure of the solar system
N. Scafetta
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 2, 1-19, 2014
Full Article (PDF, 2517 KB) Special Issue
Click to access prp-2-1-2014.pdf
15 Jan 2014
PATERN RECOGNITION IN PHYSICS – Special Issue
http://www.pattern-recogn-phys.net/special_issue2.html
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What a treasure trove here !!
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Pattern in solar variability, their planetary origin and terrestrial impacts
Editor(s): N.-A. Mörner, R. Tattersall, and J.-E. Solheim
The complex planetary synchronization structure of the solar system
N. Scafetta
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 2, 1-19, 2014
Full Article (PDF, 2517 KB)
Click to access prp-2-1-2014.pdf
15 Jan 2014
Responses of the basic cycles of 178.7 and 2402 yr in solar–terrestrial phenomena during the Holocene
I. Charvátová and P. Hejda
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 2, 21-26, 2014
Full Article (PDF, 737 KB)
Click to access prp-2-21-2014.pdf
17 Jan 2014
Preface: Pattern in solar variability, their planetary origin and terrestrial impacts
N.-A. Mörner, R. Tattersall, and J.-E. Solheim
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 203-204, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 140 KB)
Click to access prp-1-203-2013.pdf
16 Dec 2013
The Hum: log-normal distribution and planetary–solar resonance
R. Tattersall
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 185-198, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 803 KB)
Click to access prp-1-185-2013.pdf
16 Dec 2013
Energy transfer in the solar system
H. Jelbring
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 165-176, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 2284 KB)
Click to access prp-1-165-2013.pdf
05 Dec 2013
Planetary beat and solar–terrestrial responses
N.-A. Mörner
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 107-116, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 3099 KB)
Click to access prp-1-107-2013.pdf
01 Nov 2013
Signals from the planets, via the Sun to the Earth
J.-E. Solheim
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 177-184, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 1628 KB)
Click to access prp-1-177-2013.pdf
10 Dec 2013
Apparent relations between planetary spin, orbit, and solar differential rotation
R. Tattersall
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 199-202, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 654 KB)
Click to access prp-1-177-2013.pdf
16 Dec 2013
The Venus–Earth–Jupiter spin–orbit coupling model
I. R. G. Wilson
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 147-158, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 2521 KB)
Click to access prp-1-147-2013.pdf
03 Dec 2013
Celestial commensurabilities: some special cases
H. Jelbring
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 143-146, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 54 KB)
Click to access prp-1-143-2013.pdf
02 Dec 2013
Multiscale comparative spectral analysis of satellite total solar irradiance measurements from 2003 to 2013 reveals a planetary modulation of solar activity and its nonlinear dependence on the 11 yr solar cycle
N. Scafetta and R. C. Willson
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 123-133, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 2522 KB)
Click to access prp-1-123-2013.pdf
25 Nov 2013
The sunspot cycle length – modulated by planets?
J.-E. Solheim
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 159-164, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 198 KB)
Click to access prp-1-159-2013.pdf
04 Dec 2013
A mathematical model of the sunspot cycle for the past 1000 yr
R. J. Salvador
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 117-122, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 2744 KB)
Click to access prp-1-117-2013.pdf
15 Nov 2013
General conclusions regarding the planetary–solar–terrestrial interaction
N.-A. Mörner, R. Tattersall, J.-E. Solheim, I. Charvatova, N. Scafetta, H. Jelbring, I. R. Wilson, R. Salvador, R. C. Willson, P. Hejda, W. Soon, V. M. Velasco Herrera, O. Humlum, D. Archibald, H. Yndestad, D. Easterbrook, J. Casey, G. Gregori, and G. Henriksson
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 205-206, 2013
Full Article (PDF, 126 KB)
Click to access prp-1-205-2013.pdf
16 Dec 2013
Thanks to Salvatore for this nice goggle search string
https://www.google.com.au/?gfe_rd=cr&ei=fER3U8OKCMyN8Qfg8oGYBw#q=hallsatt+cycle+versus+climate
The Gleissberg cycle is one of the slightly longer solar cycles, probably
modulating the Schwabe cycle (Wolf, 1862; Gleissberg, 1939).
Firstly assumed to have a duration of 88-years, Ogurtsov et al.
(2002) detected a characteristic split into a low-frequency band signal
of 50–80 years and a high-frequency signal between 90 and
140 years.
———————
Hmm that’s interesting . That indicates the 60 and 100 yr are probably major rather than minor
They are quasi because the fundamental unit is probably 11, the mean of the schwabe solar cycle. The length of this fundamental frequency ( solar cycle) changes in length determining the length of the schwabbe triplets and length of the AMO/~6oyr phase
taken from forum discussion by salvadore here
Responses of the basic cycles of 178.7 and 2402yr in solar–terrestrial phenomena during the Holocene
I. Charvátová and P. Hejda
Institute of Geophysics, Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic published 2014
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MY NOTES and snaps from this most excellent research paper
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SIM ( solar inertial motion)
Ordered and disordered trefoil
370 yr …. exceptional segments in steps of 2402 yrs (2402…370…2402…370 ..etc)
THe trefoil intervals are about 50 yrs long . The sun returns to the trefoil intervals always after 178.9 yr on average ( JOSE cycle ~178 yr)
During intermediate intervals the sun makes chaotic ( disordered lines)
Exceptional trefoil intervals ( 159 -208 AD ( 49 yr)….2561-2193 BC ( 368 yr) …4964-4598 BC ( 366yrs)
The deepest and longest minima of the Maunder/sporer type occured in the second half of the 2402 cycle( disordered SIM)——-
————————-
The Sun moves within an area of a diameter of 4.3 rs, where rs is the solar radius (see Fig. 1), or 3×1,000,000 km. ( 3 million km )
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1. The periods found in the SIM (in all its motion characteristics such as the velocity, the acceleration, the radii of curvature, etc.) are higher harmonics of the basic period of 178.7yr (Bucha et al., 1985; Jakubcová and Pick, 1987). The basic period of 178.7yr was found by Jose (1965) and further described by Fairbridge and Shirley (1987). Charvátová and Stˇreštík (2004) detected such periods, between 6 and 16yr, in European temper- ature series and Charvátová-Jakubcová et al. (1988) de- tected these periods between 10 and 60yr in global au- rora records (cf. also Scafetta, 2012b). Since the solar motion characteristics are underlaid by variable geome- tries of the solar orbit, the results of spectral analyses are dependent on the intervals being employed (Charvátová and Stˇreštík, 1995). Scafetta and Wilson (2013) detected these periods in Hungarian aurora records since 1523.
2. Separation of the SIM into two basic types, the or- dered (in JS trefoils) and disordered (Charvátová, 1990, 1995).
3. The very long, regular cycle of 2402yr represents a repetition of the exceptional, nearly 370yr-long interval of trefoil solar motion.
( my comment : 179 * 2 = 358yr………….. 2402 / 370 = 6.5……2402/ 179 = 13.4)
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The layered Sun is forced to move along the given loops and arcs, its velocity ranges between 36 and 64kmh−1, its mean velocity is about 50kmh−1.
Charatova (2009) showed that the SIMs in the years 1840–1905 and 1980–2045 are nearly identical and of a moderately chaotic type. The future (forthcoming) behaviours of ST phenomena are likely to be analogous to those after 1873
( my comment : The global temp decline fropm1840 to 1910was moderate witha drop of about 0.2 deg c)
https://picasaweb.google.com/110600540172511797362/TIMESERIESAndTrends#6015800923255921298
TREFOIL STABLE PHASE.
Note the triangle in the geometry
NOTES
https://picasaweb.google.com/110600540172511797362/TIMESERIESAndTrends#6015818266647262386
URANUS / NEPTUNE 171.4 yr and 2402 yr cycle
TREFOIL PATTERNS
https://picasaweb.google.com/110600540172511797362/TIMESERIESAndTrends#6015832955469078450
Do the planets affect the sunspot cycle?
source
http://www.astronomycafe.net/qadir/q923.html
thanks to OB for the link
There was a paper published by the Astronomical Journal in April, 1965 ( vol. 70, page 193) by Paul D. Jose which described just such an effect. He noted that the Sun and planets orbit about a point called the barycenter of the solar system which is located between 0.01 and 2.2 times the radius of the Sun from the Sun’s center. The path of the Sun is actually a loop-de-loop about this point which doesn’t close upon itself like an ordinary planetary orbit. Jose discovered that although this motion is complicated,
– the Sun returns to roughly its starting position with respect to this point every 179 years, which he noted is 9 times the synodic period of Jupiter and Saturn.
This means that every 179 years as seen from the Sun, Jupiter and Saturn return to the same spot in the sky.
He looked at the sunspot record from 1610 to 1954 and found evidence of this same period in the maxima and minima of the 11 year sunspot cycle. In other words,
superimposed upon the 11-year cycle, there was a 179 year modulation of the amplitudes of each cycle.
This modulation matched the phase of the rate of change in time of the Sun’s angular momentum (dL/dt) with respect to the barycenter. He concluded that “Certain forces exerted upon the Sun by the planets are the cause of the sunspot cycle”
A quick citation search of the literature shows that even by 1990, this paper is still getting about 2-3 cites per year by other researchers who study long-term changes in the Sun’s sunspot cycles, luminosity, and other factors. In 1974, an article appeared in Nature ( vol. 250, page 398) by Theodore Cohen and Paul Lintz which argued that Jose’s 179 year periodicity is not externally-produced, but is a simple beat frequency. They constructed a time spectrum of the sunspot data and discovered that there were significant peaks at periods of 8.3, 9.8, 11.0 and 95.8 years, and that the 11 year and 9.8 year periods which dominate the sunspot ‘cycle’ had a beat frequency of 181 years, very similar to Jose’s 179 year modulation period.
In 1990, astronomers James Shirley, Kenneth Serber and Rhodes Fairbridge studied the frequency content of the solar irradiance measurements returned from the Nimbus 7 satellite over an 89-month timescale ( 7 years) and noted that the variations in the total solar brightness did change with the ‘second derivative’ of the solar angular momentum ( d^2L/dt^2), and are primarily caused by Mercury and Venus. They also predicted that there ought to be modulations caused by the Earth and the outer planets, but 89- months of data is too short to detect these much longer-term oscillations of the solar irradiance.
These authors refer to Jose’s work on dL/dt correlations, only in a brief comment in a figure caption. Most of the references are directed towards papers by Fairbridge and Shirley , and by Wolff and Hickey in 1987. These appeared in the journals Solar Physics ( vol. 110 page 191) and Science (vol. 235 page 1631). The Fairbridge and Shirley article is very generous in referring to Jose’s 1965 article, and provides an extended discussion of the significance of his discovery in the context of other studies of long-term solar oscillations. They note that the interaction between the planets and the Sun which modulates the sunspot maxima cannot be tidal because the tidal forces of the planets at the solar surface is one TRILLIONTH of the gravitational force at the Sun’s surface. They speculate that there must be some direct, inertial coupling between the Sun’s motion about the barycenter and its internal convection pattern which generates the 11-year cycle.
——————————————————————————–
Copyright 1997 Dr. Sten Odenwald
Just been reading a link frommTallblokes blog from ‘Paul Vaughan’ recommending an Ian Wilson post
http://astroclimateconnection.blogspot.com.au/2013/07/is-this-planetary-signature-in-our.html
In this post ,
Ian Wilson correlates the North Pacific index, including the Sea surface temp anomaly and surface pressure anomaly with the conjunctions and opposition of Jupiter and Saturn
He notes 19.86 yr cycles embedded in a longer 59 yr repeating pattern( 3 * 19.86 = 59 yr)
North pacific Index
http://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/guidance/north-pacific-index-npi-trenberth-and-hurrell-monthly-and-winter
and a study by
Reference: Shoshiro Minobe
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 26, No. 7, Pages 855-858, APRIL, 1, 1999
Resonance in bidecadal and pentadecadal climate oscillations over the North Pacific: Role in climatic regime shifts
and
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, VOL. 20, NO. 5, 2003, PP. 694–710 694
Joint Propagating Patterns of SST and SLP Anomalies in the
North Pacific on Bidecadal and Pentadecadal Timescales
ZHU Yimin and YANG Xiuqun
He has overlayed the conjunction and opposition of Jupiter and Saturn on the North pacific index data
and the results
THANKS to Warwick Hughes blog
http://www.warwickhughes.com/blog/?p=3007
for alerting to this new book
From the melody of the oceans to climate change: a fight against ostracism
Authored by J. L. Pinault
List Price: $33.33
looks like it could be a good read
https://www.createspace.com/4741436 (an AMAZON company)
Do Uranus and Neptune Control Solar Modulation and Grand Minima?
After 50 years in the Wilderness, Planetary Theory is making a Solid Comeback
by Geoff sharp on 7 February 2014 •
A slide show
http://prezi.com/7j4q4lnywvfz/do-uranus-neptune-control-solar-modulation-grand-minima/
Geoff’s taken the best of Charatova , Landcheidt and Carl Smith and moved this research even further with his own research developments
Add this to your must read and understand list. Even if you don’t agree with the hypothesis entirely.
Lots of ‘meaty bits here’
Seeing all this seems to be going down the path in part to planetary conjunctions and oppositions etc
Thought l might collect a few handy links here for future reference
Jupiter / Saturn conjunctions
http://www.astropro.com/features/tables/geo/ju-sa/ju000sa.html
I am not into astrology at all so don’t get icky about the author. He has got what l need . The data
Had a look at some dates that l needed tonight and had NO luck.
————————————————–
Some serious Time series analysis maths for Mathematics ‘buffs’
http://www.statsoft.com/Textbook/Time-Series-Analysis
New paper finds natural variability of N Carolina climate explained by solar activity & AMO
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.co.uk/2014/05/new-paper-finds-natural-variability-of.html
Friday, May 23, 2014
New paper finds natural variability of N Carolina climate explained by solar activity & AMO
——————————–extracted from Hockeyschtick
A paper published today in Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics finds “the natural variability of climate change in NC [North Carolina] during 1950–2009 can be explained mostly by the AMO [Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation] and solar activity.”
Prior papers have also found the AMO driven by solar activity. Climate scientists claim the tiny 0.1% variations in total solar irradiance over solar cycles cannot affect climate, but this paper and many others suggest that solar amplification mechanisms including via ocean oscillations can cause large scale effects on climate.
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 21, 605-615, 2014
http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/21/605/2014/
doi:10.5194/npg-21-605-2014
LINK BETWEEN SOLAR WIND AND GLOBAL TEMPERATURE
http://notrickszone.com/2014/05/22/data-suggest-that-solar-wind-impacts-global-temperature/
Bill Howell seems to host a web page for scientists studying the SOLAR SYSTEM and our GALAXY …. AND THE IMPACT ON EARTHS CLIMATE
http://www.billhowell.ca/
His contributors include
Paul Vaughan
http://www.billhowell.ca/Paul%20L%20Vaughan/0_Paul%20L%20Vaughan.html
Steven Yaskell
http://www.billhowell.ca/Steven%20H%20Yaskell/0_Steven%20H%20Yaskell.html
Steven Wickson
http://www.billhowell.ca/Wickson%20website/_Wickson.html
South Australian spring rain 3 weeks later than 100 years ago, solar blamed
ON THE SECULAR VARIATION OF RAINFALL AT ADELAIDE
E.A CORNISH (CSIRO Adelaide)
AN ORBITAL MOTION SHARED BY SUN AND EARTH
EFFECTING SUNSPOTS AND EARTH WEATHER
By: Dr. John C. Freeman and Jill F. Hasling,
Certified Consulting Meteorologists
Weather Research Center 3227 Audley St. Houston, Texas 77098 http://www.wxresearch.com
http://www.wxresearch.org/papers/orbit2004.htm
—————————————————–
The Sun’s orbit is not as stable as the individual orbits of the planets but almost repeats nearly every 178.7 years
Figure 1 notice the variance in the sixteen loops around the center of gravity of the solar system. This is evidence that the Sun’s orbit, or helio-epoch, is variable.
Figure 1 is the projection on the plane of the orbit of Jupiter and the orbit of the Sun about the center of gravity of the solar system. The orbit starts in 1820.00 and is complete 178.76 years later in 1998.76. Then a new orbit begins and is followed until 2020.20. A circuit of the center of gravity is made every 8 to 14 years
Jose’s(1965) work indicated that this helio-epoch of the Sun does cause effects on Sunspots.
Jose [1965] showed that the orbit of the Sun has an effect on sunspots and other phenomena on the Sun as did Landscheidt[1976]. Jose [1965] postulated that the orbit of the Sun caused sunspots. By postulating time derivative of the angular momentum of the curve the Sun’s orbit about the instantaneous center of curvature for the years 1616 to 2024. He showed that years up to 1963 correlated with sunspot cycle. Evidence that the angular velocity of the Earth’s rotation is directly effected by the angular momentum of the Sun’s orbit is shown in Figure 2.
Therefore, the Sun-Earth orbital motion has effects on Earth just as it does on the Sun. The Earth does not react the same from this orbital motion as the Sun does. The Sun reacts with changes in Sunspots and other various phenomena. The Earth on the other hand reacts with changing weather and climate. Simultaneous events between the Earth and the Sun in their orbits are shown in Figure 3.
Figure 3 is taken from Labitzke and Van Loon [1996] and shows the solar flux of 10.7 cm wave length radiation from the sun [which varies with the Sunspot Cycle] versus the average height of the 30 hPa (30 mb) surface averaged over a large part of the Pacific Ocean. The curves have a high correlation with each other as can be seen in Figure 3.
This orbit was responsible for certain solar phenomena and that this mysterious and unknown link must be at work to cause certain atmospheric phenomena also. Landscheidt[1984-2002] has shown links in the orbit to El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, the Quasi Biannual Oscillation, and floods in the Po Valley
Freeman and Hasling[1995] related the Sun’s orbit about the center of gravity of the solar system to the frequency of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basin and forecasts of average temperatures for stations across the United States.
Labiteske and Van Loon [1995] made the most acceptable cases for a relationship when they showed that the solar flux of 10.7 cm wave length radiation from the sun controlled the height of the 30 hpa surface over the Pacific Ocean.
When Jose[1965] outlined the various aspects of the orbit he computed the moment of the orbit about the center of mass of the solar system and its time derivative or torque. This is a time dependant periodic function called the torque cycle as named by Landscheidt [1986].
Landscheidt[2002] related various phenomena on the Sun and the Earth to the torque cycle. This cycle was chosen as the best aspect of the orbit of which to relate phenomena. Landscheidt [1986] first used the torque cycle of the Sun’s motion about the center of mass of the solar system to show that the orbit affected certain aspects of solar activity. Landscheidt[1986] used the torque cycle to forecast sunspot cycles.
“In reality, it is the center of mass, or barycenter, of the Earth-moon pair that moves with smooth elliptical orbit about the solar system’s barycenter.”
The remark is misleading. It would be more accurate to say that the Earth is in orbit about the center of the Sun and the Sun is in orbit about the center of mass of the solar system.
SUMMARY
For whatever reason the fact that the Earth is in orbit about the center of the Sun and the Sun is in orbit about the center of mass of the solar system has not been emphasized by astronomers and other scientists. The consequences that the Earth participating in the Sun’s orbit forms the link between simultaneous events on the Earth and the Sun. This has not been pointed out until now.
( unfortunately the diagrams are no longer connected)
——————–
TRY HERE
Jose, P. D., Sun’s Motion and Sunspots, Astronomical Journal 10, (1), 193-200, 1965
Eddy, J. A., The Maunder Minimum, Science 192, 1189, 1976
Labitzke, K. and H. van Loon, Connection between the troposphere and stratosphere on a decadal scale, Meteorologisches Institut, Freie Universitat, Berlin, C.-H.-Becker-Weg 6-10, 12165 Berlin, 1995.
Labitzke, K. and H. van Loon, The Signal of the 11-year Sunspot Cycle in the Upper Troposphere-Lower Troposphere, Report of Stratospheric Research Group,
Landscheidt, T., Beziehungen zwischen der Sonnenaktvitat und dem Massenzentrum des Sonnensystems, Nachrichten der Olbers-Gessellschaft 100, 1976.
Landscheidt, T., Solar oscillations, sunspot cycles, and climatic change, in Weather and climate responses to solar variations, edited by B.M. McCormac, pp. 293-308, Associated University Press, Boulder, 1983.
Landscheidt, T., Long-range forecast of energetic x-ray bursts based on cycles of flares, in Solar-terrestrial predictions, Proceedings of a workshop at Meudon, 18.-22.
Juni 1984, edited by P.A.Simon, G. Heckman, und M. A., Shea, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, pp. 81-89, Boulder, 1986a.
Landscheidt, T. Long-range forecast of sunspot cycles, in Solar-terrestrial predictions, Proceedings of a workshop at Meudon, 18.-22. Juni 1984, edited by P.A. Simon,
G. Heckman, und M. A., Shea, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, pp. 48-57, Boulder, 1986b.
Landscheidt, T., Long-range forecasts of solar cycles and climate change, in Climate, History, Periodicity, and predictability, edited by M. R. Rampino, J. E. Sanders,
W. S. Newman, und L. K. K”nigsson, van Nostrand Reinhold, pp. 421-445, New York, 1987.
Landscheidt, T., Solar rotation, impulses of the torque in the Sun’s motion, and climatic variation, Climatic Change 12, 265-295, 1988.
Landscheidt, T., Relationship between rainfall in the Northern Hemisphere and impulses of the torque in the Sun’s motion, in Climate impact of solar variability edited by
K.H. Schatten and A. Arking, NASA, 259-266, Greenbelt, 1990.
Landscheidt, T., Global warming or Little Ice Age?, in Holocene cycles, A Jubilee volume in celebration of the 80th birthday of Rhodes W. Fairbridge, edited by C.W. Finkl, The
Coastal Education and Research Foundation (CERF), 371-382, Fort Lauderdale, 1995.
Landscheidt, T., Forecast of global temperature, El Niño, and cloud coverage by astronomical means, in Global Warming. The continuing debate, edited by R. Bate, The European
Science and Environment Forum (ESEF), 172-183, Cambridge, 1998.
Landscheidt, T., Extrema in sunspot cycle linked to sun’s motion. Solar Physics 189, 413-424, 1999.
Landscheidt, T., Solar forcing of El Niño and La Nina, ESA Special Publication 463, 135-140/, 2000a.
Landscheidt, T., River Po discharges and cycles of solar activity. Hydrol. Sci. J. 45, 491-493, 2000b.
Motte, A., The Mathematical Principles of Natural Philosophy by Sir Isaac Newton (1729), Dawsons of Pall Mall, London, 1968.
Schwabe, A.N., Sonen-Beobachtungen, Jhare 1843 Astron. Nacr., 21, 233, 1844.Waldmeir, M., The sunspot activity in the years 1610-1960, Schulthess & Co. AG, Zurich,
Celestial commensurabilities: some special cases
H Jelbring 2014
Sweden
http://www.pattern-recogn-phys.net/1/143/2013/prp-1-143-2013.pdf
extract
————-
Jupiter Saturn couplet
“4.5 The Jupiter–Saturn commensurability
149×Tj = 1767.47; 60×Ts = 1767.46; 89Tj||Ts = 1767.47 (yr)
This truly remarkable 6-digit commensurability is close to being exact.
The orbital periods might be variable, but the commensurabilities should be of a more stable nature than the periods themselves.
It is quite possible that this cycle is the Grand Cycle of our Solar System. ”
—————-
Inner planets
“These are 3 interlocked 6-digit commensurabilities and can hardly be considered as “produced” by chance. They simply imply that there has to exist an unknown force affecting energy transfer in the Solar System. Furthermore, there is also a “master” period, which includes the remaining inner planet Venus.
969 × Tsid || Te = 28615.1 (days or 78.343yr)
920 × Tsid || Tv = 28615.2 722 × Tsid || Tme = 28615.2 198 × Tme || Tv = 28615.4 247 × Tme || Te = 28615.1 49 × Tv || Te = 28613.8”
———–
Fabulous graphs produced by Dr Scafetta
Showing a couple of examples of the synchronicity of the planets
Really enjoyed reading this publication. Great for anyone with an interest. Not too technical and just mind blowing facts!!
The complex planetary synchronization structure of the solar system
N. Scafetta
http://www.pattern-recogn-phys.net/2/1/2014/prp-2-1-2014.html
also zoom in here
https://picasaweb.google.com/110600540172511797362/SOLARSYSTEMAndClimate#6042906737291319810
The gravitational harmonics of the solar system
A Nice summary of the scientists from 1700’s to 1993 who have studied the solar system and the earths climate .>
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A long-term numerical solution for the insolation quantities of the Earth
J. Laskar1 – P. Robutel1 – F. Joutel 1 – M. Gastineau1 – A. C. M. Correia1,2 – B. Levrard 2004
http://www.aanda.org/articles/aa/full/2004/46/aa1335/aa1335.html
Extracted from the Introduction as a sample
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“Due to gravitational planetary perturbations, the elliptical elements of the orbit of the Earth are slowly changing in time, as is the orientation of the planet’s spin axis. These changes induce variations of the insolation received on the Earth’s surface.
The first computation of the secular variations of the Earth’s orbital elements were made by Lagrange (1781, 1782), and then Pontécoulant (1834), but it was the work of Agassiz (1840), showing geological evidence of past ice ages, that triggered the search for a correlation between the geological evidence of large climatic changes, and the variations of the Earth’s astronomical parameters. Shortly after, Adhémar (1842) proposed that these climatic variations originated from the precession of the Earth’s rotation axis.
( A very impressive list follows continuing in the Introduction as they list and link all scientists involved in this research)
http://www.aanda.org/articles/aa/full/2004/46/aa1335/aa1335.html
McCracken Beer & Steinhilber: Evidence for Planetary Forcing of the Cosmic Ray Intensity and Solar Activity Throughout the Past 9400 Years
Plenty of information here if you are interested in how the planetary motion links to solar behaviour
Go on in…
OOOOOHHHHH !! what a smorgasbord..
http://www.uvs-model.com/index.htm
http://www.uvs-model.com/WFE%20on%20sunspot.htm
and
a forum
http://www.toequest.com/forum/your-toe-theory/3570-the-universal-vortical-singularity.html
Vincent wee Foo is one of the hosts..
Spatial distribution of Northern Hemisphere winter temperatures during different phases of the solar cycle†
V. Maliniemi*, T. Asikainen and K. Mursula
©2014. American Geophysical Union
Abstract
“Several recent studies have found variability in the Northern Hemisphere winter climate related to different parameters of solar activity. While these results consistently indicate some kind of solar modulation of tropospheric and stratospheric circulation and surface temperature, opinions on the exact mechanism and the solar driver differ. Proposed drivers include, e.g., total solar irradiance (TSI), solar UV radiation, galactic cosmic rays and magnetospheric energetic particles.
While some of these drivers are difficult to distinguish because of their closely similar variation over the solar cycle, other suggested drivers have clear differences in their solar cycle evolution.
For example,
geomagnetic activity and magnetospheric particle fluxes peak in the declining phase of the sunspot cycle, in difference to TSI and UV radiation which more closely follow sunspots.
Using 13 solar cycles (1869–2009) we study winter surface temperatures and North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) during four different phases of the sunspot cycle: minimum, ascending, maximum and declining phase.
We find significant differences in the temperature patterns between the four cycle phases, which indicates a solar cycle modulation of winter surface temperatures.
However, the clearest pattern of the temperature anomalies is not found during sunspot maximum or minimum, but during the declining phase, when the temperature pattern closely resembles the pattern found during positive NAO. Moreover, we find the same pattern during the low sunspot activity cycles of 100 years ago, suggesting that the pattern is largely independent of the overall level of solar activity.”
(paywalled)
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021343/abstract
Thanks to ‘Old brew’ for this info
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Elements of a
166 year cycle
there?
Timo Niroma: ’14 Jovian years is 166.07 calendar years. Are 1645, 1810 and 1976 synchpoint years having between them 15 sunspot cycles equalling 14 Jovian years and beginning a new phase in the Sun?’
http://personal.inet.fi/tiede/tilmari/sunspots.html
(see 1.1.3)
13 J-N and 12 J-U are both around 166y.
Neptune orbit is 1 year less, 2 Uranus is 2 years more.
JEV fits too, as does JNE.
K2pblog also refers to an ‘unnamed 166 year cycle’ but says nothing about it.
Here there’s a Landscheidt graph of a 166-year cycle:
http://www.abd.org.uk/freezelock.htm
‘The recent Gleissberg cycle maximum around 1984 is the first in a long sequence of maxima connected with zero phases in the 166-year cycle, four of which are marked by empty circles in the diagram from Landscheidt’s paper.’
Landscheidt’s own paper – see part 7:
‘166-year cycle in variations of the rotary force driving the sun’s orbital motion’
http://www.schulphysik.de/klima/landscheidt/iceage.htm
‘The presented results indicate that the Gleissberg cycle is a bistable oscillator capable of assuming either of two states. The transition between these states seems to be triggered by special phases in the 166-year cycle which induce phase reversals.’
Chandler wobble
observations by ‘oldbrew’
“These planetary synodics give a framework for the Chandler Wobble.
61 Jupiter-Venus = 100 Venus-Mercury = 161 Jupiter-Mercury = 39.58 years
3 Venus-Mercury = 433.6986 days = 1 Chandler Wobble (CW)
so
100 CW = 183 Jupiter-Venus = 300 Venus-Mercury = 483 Jupiter-Mercury = 118.74 years
Furuya & Chao paper confirms CW as 433.7 +/- 1.8 days.
http://gji.oxfordjournals.org/content/127/3/693.short
Abstract: ‘The procedures lead to optimal estimates for P and Q. Our best estimates, judging from comprehensive sets of Monte Carlo simulations, are P=433.7 ± 1.8 (1σ) days, Q=49 with a lσ range of (35, 100).’”
LANDSCHEIDT RESEARCH
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The Golden Section: A Building Block of Cyclic Structure
by Theodor Landscheidt
source link to essay
http://bourabai.kz/landscheidt/golden.htm
Another Landcheidt paper
Apr 20, 1990 – Landscheidt, T. (1981):
Swinging Sun, 79-Year Cycle, and Climatic Change, … Earth’s connections with other cosmic bodies in the solar system environment. … SUN-EARTH-MAN: A MESH OFCOSMIC OSCILLATIONS.
Click to access Sun-Earth-Men_116_p_1989.pdf
Landscheidt ..a sample from page 44 first.. glimpse produces treasure
Click to access Sun-Earth-Men_116_p_1989.pdf
quote
“The first process involved are impulses of the torque (IOT) in the Sun’s
motion about the centre of mass of the solar system (CM) that were mentioned
already.
They are induced by special heliocentric consteIIations of the giant
planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus,.and Neptune.
Figure 18 shows the ecIiptic
positions of CM relative to the Sun’s centre for 1945 to 1995.
The heliocentric
representation and the line marking the limb of the Sun make it easy to see
whether CM is to be found above or below the Sun’s surface; most of the time
it is on the outside of the Sun’s body.
The distance of both centres varies from
0.01 to 2.19 solar radii.
It takes 9 to 14 years to complete one revolution
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Hmmm. .. Range of schwabe solar cycle length is 9-14 yrs.. So we measure solar cycle length by the arc of the curve/ diameter of ellipse drawn by barycentre pattern?
What is the math to find the circumference of the ellipse?
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