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The ENSO season ( Nina / Nino ) is noted in the southern hemisphere as an Autumn to Autumn sequence.
The start of autumn in the southern hemisphere is March. All eyes to the ENSO indicators .
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There is currently plenty of media from the academics noting the climate modelling is suggesting an El Nino of sorts for 2014. Most evidence presented as been some warm anomalies in the south west pacific ocean
It is thought that Kelvin waves are pushing this sub surface warm anomaly toward the central and east pacific
Some are touting anomalies of plus 6 deg c
However this map below posted by Mike Hauber forum member of WZ forum is indicating anomalies of plus 2 deg c near the date line
You can follow this discussion here
There are many other indicators of an El Nino apart from sub surface pacific temperatures / upwelling and downwelling
For this post we will start with a snap of the current sub surface temperatures across the pacific equator
The warm anomaly is clearly seen east of the dateline in the central pacific
This is not a surface anomaly map