ACCESS has identified a tropical low at 120E and 12 S just west of Darwin that will establish in to a likely CAT 1 cyclone of the coast of North west WA by Christmas day.
The circulation intensifies into the 26th and 27th as a high pressure cell off the WA coastline strengthens increasing the strength of the in-feed into the south west quadrant
ACCESS has strengthened the outlook for this cyclone in tonights forecast (* 22nd dec)
Suggesting the TC could be CAT 2 by the 27th/28th Dec with some travel down the WA coast but stilloff shore at this stage
Here is a snap of ACCESS forecast for the 28th DEC 2013 indicating a cyclone of about CAT 2 strength near the WA coastline